FNUS75 KBOU 290337 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER CO RIVER...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 837 PM MST MON NOV 28 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER COLORADO WILL BRING DRY AND MAINLY SUNNY WEATHER ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE JUST A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER THAN MONDAY...WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY READINGS AND LIGHT WINDS. ENOUGH DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD OCCUR FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS BY WEDNESDAY... AND THEN COLDER TEMPERATURES AND A GOOD CHANCE OF SNOWFALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....17. MAX HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-38. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....15. MAX HUMIDITY........82%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....38. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 4800-5800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS AROUND 19. NORTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 4. HIGHS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR UPPER CO RIVER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/28-20 78 20 4 27 46 N 2 2 2 1 W45 769 SW 2 1635 P 11/28-21 78 20 4 26 51 N 2 2 2 1 W44 620 SW 3 1693 P 11/28-22 78 20 4 24 57 N 3 3 2 1 W41 470 W 5 1751 P 11/28-23 75 20 4 23 61 N 5 5 2 1 W38 321 W 7 1809 P 11/29-00 75 20 4 21 65 N 6 6 2 1 NW33 283 W 7 1735 P 11/29-01 75 20 4 20 67 N 6 6 2 1 NW29 245 W 8 1661 P 11/29-02 75 20 4 19 67 N 7 7 2 1 NW25 207 W 9 1587 P 11/29-03 75 20 4 19 67 N 7 7 2 1 NW24 196 W 9 1517 P 11/29-04 75 20 4 18 67 N 7 7 2 1 NW25 186 W 9 1446 P 11/29-05 36 0 0 18 69 N 7 7 2 1 N28 175 W 9 1375 P 11/29-06 36 0 0 17 69 N 7 7 3 1 N30 180 W 9 1415 P 11/29-07 36 0 0 17 73 N 6 6 4 1 N32 185 W 9 1454 P 11/29-08 12 0 0 17 76 NW 6 6 5 1 N36 191 W 9 1494 P 11/29-09 12 0 0 18 77 NW 6 6 5 1 N38 822 W13 13213 P 11/29-10 12 0 0 20 72 SW 7 7 4 1 N40 1453 W16 24933 P 11/29-11 12 0 0 28 55 S 7 7 3 1 N40 2085 W21 36652 P 11/29-12 12 0 0 34 43 S 7 7 3 1 N38 2574 W20 44795 F 11/29-13 12 0 0 37 37 S 8 8 4 1 N33 3063 W20 52939 F 11/29-14 12 0 0 37 37 S 8 8 5 1 NW31 3552 W20 61082 G 11/29-15 12 0 0 37 36 S 8 8 5 1 NW31 3042 W21 53564 F 11/29-16 12 0 0 36 37 SW 9 9 5 1 NW33 2532 W21 46045 F 11/29-17 49 0 0 34 38 SW 9 14 5 1 NW36 2021 W22 38527 P 11/29-18 49 0 0 30 45 SW 9 9 5 1 NW39 1408 W18 26305 P 11/29-19 49 0 0 22 60 SW 8 8 4 1 NW44 796 W15 14084 P 11/29-20 49 0 0 15 82 SW 8 8 3 1 NW47 183 W12 1862 P 11/29-21 49 0 0 15 77 SW 8 14 4 1 NW44 191 SW13 2120 P 11/29-22 49 0 0 15 78 SW 9 15 4 1 NW43 188 SW14 2261 P 11/29-23 39 0 0 15 79 SW10 16 4 1 NW43 186 SW15 2402 P 11/30-00 39 0 0 15 77 SW12 17 4 1 NW44 188 SW16 2622 P 11/30-01 39 0 0 15 75 SW12 18 4 1 W45 189 W17 2842 P 11/30-02 39 0 0 15 73 SW13 21 4 1 W46 191 W18 3062 P 11/30-03 39 0 0 15 71 W14 22 4 1 W46 196 W20 3397 P 11/30-04 39 0 0 15 70 W15 24 4 1 W47 200 W22 3732 P 11/30-05 47 4 1 16 69 W16 25 4 1 W47 205 W23 4067 P 11/30-06 47 4 1 16 71 W17 29 4 1 W49 277 W26 6669 P 11/30-07 47 4 1 16 72 W20 31 4 1 W51 350 W29 9271 P 11/30-08 47 4 1 18 67 W21 33 4 1 W54 422 W32 11873 P 11/30-09 47 4 1 24 54 W22 35 3 1 W58 1867 W40 83690 G 11/30-10 47 4 1 31 42 W22 35 3 1 W61 3313 W47 155508 E 11/30-11 87 10 2 36 35 W22 35 2 1 W66 4758 W55 227326 E 11/30-12 87 10 2 37 33 W22 36 2 1 W70 5089 W53 231689 E 11/30-13 87 10 2 36 33 W22 35 2 1 SW76 5420 W51 236051 E 11/30-14 87 10 2 34 36 W21 33 2 1 SW78 5750 W48 240414 E 11/30-15 87 10 2 32 41 W18 29 2 1 SW79 5671 W41 204805 E 11/30-16 87 10 2 29 47 W15 24 2 1 SW78 5592 W35 169196 E 11/30-17 95 61 39 26 53 W13 21 2 1 SW73 5513 W28 133586 V 11/30-18 95 61 39 25 57 W13 20 2 1 SW62 5762 W25 127913 V 11/30-19 95 61 39 24 59 NW13 21 2 1 SW48 6011 NW23 122239 V 11/30-20 95 61 39 23 61 NW14 22 2 1 SW37 6261 NW22 116565 V 11/30-21 95 61 39 22 62 NW13 21 2 1 SW30 6039 NW22 112498 V 11/30-22 95 61 39 21 63 NW13 20 2 1 SW25 5818 NW22 108431 V 11/30-23 94 72 56 20 64 NW12 18 2 1 SW22 5597 NW22 104363 V 12/01-00 94 72 56 19 64 NW12 20 2 1 W20 5616 NW24 116247 V 12/01-01 94 72 56 18 64 NW13 21 2 1 W18 5636 N26 128130 V 12/01-02 94 72 56 17 66 NW14 22 2 1 W17 5655 N29 140014 V 12/01-03 94 72 56 15 70 N15 23 2 1 NW17 5413 N32 149812 V 12/01-04 94 72 56 14 75 N15 25 2 1 NW18 5172 N36 159610 E 12/01-05 95 71 54 13 80 N16 25 2 1 NW20 4930 N39 169408 E 12/01-06 95 71 54 11 86 N16 26 2 1 NW22 4874 N40 171555 E 12/01-07 95 71 54 10 91 N17 26 3 1 N24 4817 N41 173703 E 12/01-08 95 71 54 10 94 N16 25 3 1 N25 4760 N43 175850 E 12/01-09 95 71 54 10 99 N14 22 3 1 N24 5153 N40 177387 E 12/01-10 95 71 54 12 98 N12 18 2 1 N23 5546 N38 178923 E 12/01-11 90 56 32 14 96 N 9 15 2 1 N22 5939 N35 180460 E 12/01-12 90 56 32 15 93 N 9 15 2 1 N21 6000 N32 170025 E 12/01-13 90 56 32 15 92 N10 16 2 1 N21 6061 N30 159590 E 12/01-14 90 56 32 15 93 N10 16 2 1 N21 6121 N28 149155 V 12/01-15 90 56 32 12 100 N 9 15 2 1 N22 5493 N26 129071 V 12/01-16 90 56 32 8 100 N 8 13 2 1 N23 4865 N25 108987 V 12/01-17 64 24 5 5 100 N 7 7 2 1 N25 4237 N24 88903 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111129.UPPER.01/BOU