FNUS75 KBOU 300421 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR MT EVANS SWA RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 918 PM MST TUE NOV 29 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE GREAT BASIN BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...MILD AND BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PROMOTE VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE WEATHER SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE INTO THE STATE. THIS SNOW WILL LAST THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AS WELL. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....28. MAX HUMIDITY........47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....51. MIN HUMIDITY........16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15-21 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 1800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....12. MAX HUMIDITY........93%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTHEAST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 3400-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2100. GOOD AFTER 0400. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....17. MIN HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 12-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 6. HIGHS AROUND 18. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MT EVANSSWA RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 11/29-21 29 0 0 31 37 W 7 7 5 1 NW33 328 W 9 2482 P 11/29-22 29 0 0 30 38 W 8 8 4 1 NW36 247 W10 2102 P 11/29-23 39 0 0 29 38 W 9 14 4 1 NW36 166 W12 1723 P 11/30-00 39 0 0 29 37 W10 16 4 1 NW35 170 W14 2103 P 11/30-01 39 0 0 29 35 W13 18 3 1 NW33 174 W16 2483 P 11/30-02 39 0 0 28 35 W14 21 3 1 NW32 177 W18 2863 P 11/30-03 39 0 0 28 34 W15 23 4 1 NW32 191 W21 3423 P 11/30-04 39 0 0 28 33 W16 24 4 1 NW32 204 W22 3982 P 11/30-05 60 0 0 29 31 W17 26 5 1 NW33 217 W24 4542 P 11/30-06 60 0 0 28 32 W18 26 5 1 NW32 245 W24 5126 P 11/30-07 60 0 0 28 32 W18 26 5 1 W32 272 W24 5710 P 11/30-08 60 0 0 32 28 W17 26 5 1 W33 299 W24 6294 P 11/30-09 60 0 0 38 23 W16 24 5 1 W36 1703 W30 57763 F 11/30-10 60 0 0 44 19 W14 21 4 1 W39 3107 W36 109233 V 11/30-11 42 0 0 48 17 W12 17 4 1 W45 4511 W41 160702 E 11/30-12 42 0 0 50 17 W 9 9 4 1 W55 4924 W39 168232 E 11/30-13 42 0 0 51 16 W 7 7 3 1 W67 5337 W38 175762 E 11/30-14 42 3 1 50 18 W 5 5 3 1 W74 5750 W37 183291 E 11/30-15 42 3 1 48 20 W 5 5 3 1 W73 4454 W28 128173 V 11/30-16 42 3 1 37 32 SW 5 5 2 1 W67 3158 W20 73055 G 11/30-17 90 39 17 32 41 SW 5 5 2 1 W60 1862 W12 17937 P 11/30-18 90 39 17 30 47 SW 5 5 2 1 W54 1445 SW 9 12784 P 11/30-19 90 39 17 28 52 W 5 5 2 1 SW49 1028 SW 7 7631 P 11/30-20 90 39 17 28 55 W 5 5 2 1 SW44 611 SW 5 2478 P 11/30-21 90 39 17 26 62 SW 5 5 2 1 W51 3561 SW12 36752 P 11/30-22 90 39 17 25 67 SE 5 5 2 1 SW43 3444 S 9 26885 P 11/30-23 100 84 74 24 70 NE 6 6 2 1 SW37 3327 S 6 17018 P 12/01-00 100 84 74 22 75 NE 7 7 2 1 SW35 3328 SE 9 26615 P 12/01-01 100 84 74 21 78 NE 8 8 2 1 SW35 3328 E13 36212 P 12/01-02 100 84 74 19 80 NE 9 14 2 1 SW35 3329 NE16 45809 F 12/01-03 100 84 74 18 81 NE12 16 2 1 SW35 3436 NE20 59142 F 12/01-04 100 84 74 17 82 NE13 18 2 1 SW36 3542 NE23 72474 G 12/01-05 97 84 74 15 85 NE14 21 2 1 SW35 3649 NE28 85806 G 12/01-06 97 84 74 14 87 NE15 23 2 1 S32 3501 NE29 86941 G 12/01-07 97 84 74 12 93 NE16 24 2 1 S30 3353 NE30 88075 G 12/01-08 97 84 74 13 89 NE17 26 2 1 S29 3204 NE32 89210 G 12/01-09 97 84 74 14 83 NE18 28 2 1 S30 3642 NE31 98462 G 12/01-10 97 84 74 15 78 NE18 28 2 1 S32 4080 NE31 107714 V 12/01-11 92 80 68 16 74 NE18 28 2 1 S35 4518 NE30 116965 V 12/01-12 92 80 68 16 72 NE18 26 2 1 S33 4625 NE28 112100 V 12/01-13 92 80 68 17 70 NE17 25 2 1 S31 4733 NE26 107235 V 12/01-14 92 80 68 17 69 NE16 24 2 1 S30 4840 NE24 102370 V 12/01-15 92 80 68 16 68 NE15 22 2 1 S29 4565 NE23 91754 G 12/01-16 92 80 68 15 68 NE14 20 2 1 S29 4290 NE22 81137 G 12/01-17 73 31 10 13 74 NE12 17 2 1 S28 4014 NE21 70521 G 12/01-18 73 31 10 11 76 NE 9 9 2 1 S25 3615 NE17 57037 F 12/01-19 73 31 10 10 76 NE 7 7 2 1 S23 3215 NE15 43554 F 12/01-20 73 31 10 9 75 NE 5 5 2 1 S21 2816 NE13 30070 P 12/01-21 73 31 10 9 76 NE 3 3 2 1 S20 2568 NE10 23401 P 12/01-22 73 31 10 8 78 E 2 2 2 1 S18 2321 E 8 16731 P 12/01-23 49 10 2 8 79 E 2 2 2 1 S16 2074 E 6 10062 P 12/02-00 49 10 2 7 80 SE 2 2 2 1 S12 1663 E 6 8305 P 12/02-01 49 10 2 7 81 S 2 2 2 1 SW 7 1251 S 6 6547 P 12/02-02 49 10 2 6 82 S 3 3 2 1 SW 3 840 S 7 4790 P 12/02-03 49 10 2 6 80 SW 5 5 2 1 S 3 647 S 7 3708 P 12/02-04 49 10 2 6 78 W 7 7 2 1 E 6 453 SW 7 2627 P 12/02-05 26 4 1 5 78 W 8 8 2 1 NE 8 260 W 7 1545 P 12/02-06 26 4 1 5 77 W 8 8 2 1 E 8 276 SW 6 1451 P 12/02-07 26 4 1 6 74 W 8 8 2 1 E 8 292 SW 6 1356 P 12/02-08 26 4 1 10 68 W 7 7 2 1 E 8 308 SW 5 1262 P 12/02-09 26 4 1 16 61 SW 6 6 2 1 E 9 1959 S 5 8450 P 12/02-10 26 4 1 23 58 S 5 5 2 1 SE10 3610 S 5 15638 P 12/02-11 52 4 1 27 56 SE 5 5 2 1 SE12 5261 SE 5 22825 P 12/02-12 52 4 1 30 52 SE 5 5 2 1 SE12 5723 E 5 19755 P 12/02-13 52 4 1 32 48 E 6 6 2 1 SE12 6185 NE 3 16685 P 12/02-14 52 4 1 33 45 E 6 6 2 1 SE10 6647 NE 2 13616 P 12/02-15 52 4 1 32 46 NE 5 5 2 1 E10 6108 N 6 25516 P 12/02-16 52 4 1 30 48 N 3 3 2 1 E 9 5569 N 8 37416 P 12/02-17 55 14 3 25 57 NW 2 2 2 1 E 8 5030 N12 49317 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...KEVIN MICHALAK REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111130.MTEVA.01/BOU