FNUS74 KEPZ 301742
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOMBRERO RX...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1042 AM MST WED NOV 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1050 MST ON NOVEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT AND VARIABLE LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL RESULT IN POOR VENTILATION
RATES TODAY.  OTHERWISE EXPECT CLEAR SKIES AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.
A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
TOMORROW...RESULTING IN INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE
WINDS WILL STILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST.

A STRONG BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY
EVENING BRINGING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AND MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
RAIN AND SNOW ARE LIKELY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6000 FEET.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........56 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................21 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2400 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........24,000 KNOT-FEET (POOR)

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.
RH..................MAX 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 13 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 25
                    KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........132,500 KNOT-FEET (VERY GOOD)

$$

FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...NM ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111130.SOMBR.01/EPZ