FNUS74 KEPZ 302248
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOMBRERO RX...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
348 PM MST WED NOV 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1520 MST ON NOVEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND SHIFT DURING THE DAY FROM SOUTHERLY EARLY MORNING TO STRONGER
   EASTERLY BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON THURSDAY AS STRONG COLD BACKDOOR COLD
   FRONT MOVES INTO THE SACRAMENTOS FROM THE EAST...


.DISCUSSION...
LOOKS LIKE FAIRLY GOOD WEATHER INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY EARLY
AFTERNOON BEFORE SIGNIFICANT DETERIORATION.
EXPECT CLEAR SKIES WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT.
A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
TOMORROW...RESULTING IN INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  SURFACE
WINDS WILL STILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTH AND BECOMING EAST
TO SOUTHEAST AS THE DAY GOES ON AND BECOMING STRONGER BY EVENING.

A STRONG BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY
EVENING BRINGING STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS (VERY STRONG AND GUSTY WEST
SLOPES...RIDGE TOPS...AND CANYONS WITH  MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.
RAIN AND SNOW ARE LIKELY FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ABOVE 6000 FEET.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 KNOTS. POOR

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    THEN EAST TO NORTHEAST BY EVENING 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    25-30 AND STRONGER WEST SLOPES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 KNOTS. VERY GOOD

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111130.SOMBR.02/EPZ