FNUS75 KBOU 011155 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO GULCH PILES...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 446 AM MST THU DEC 1 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT SNOW WILL SPREAD SOUTH INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PRODUCE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW THIS EVENING WITH DECREASING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. IT WILL BE PARTLY SUNNY...DRY AND COLD ON FRIDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH POTENTIAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...DECREASING LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....31. MIN HUMIDITY........52%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHEAST WINDS 17-27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1500. POOR AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....-4 TO -9. MAX HUMIDITY........95-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-33. MIN HUMIDITY........31-33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200. 4600-5600 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS AROUND 20. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BUFFALO GULCH PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/01-04 79 63 42 25 64 E13 21 3 1 SW41 2918 E18 47810 F 12/01-05 100 82 71 25 65 E14 23 3 1 SW41 3235 E20 54393 F 12/01-06 100 82 71 26 62 E16 26 3 1 SW40 3516 E20 61855 G 12/01-07 100 82 71 26 57 NE20 31 2 1 SW39 3796 E21 69318 G 12/01-08 100 82 71 26 53 NE22 35 2 1 SW37 4076 E22 76780 G 12/01-09 100 82 71 26 53 NE23 38 2 1 SW36 4133 E22 77851 G 12/01-10 100 82 71 26 52 NE24 39 2 1 SW35 4190 E22 78921 G 12/01-11 99 82 71 25 54 NE24 39 2 1 SW35 4247 E22 79992 G 12/01-12 99 65 45 24 55 NE23 37 2 1 SW36 4093 E21 73799 G 12/01-13 99 65 45 23 55 NE21 33 2 1 SW36 3939 E20 67607 G 12/01-14 84 65 45 21 59 NE18 30 2 1 SW36 3786 E18 61414 G 12/01-15 84 65 45 17 67 NE17 28 2 1 SW32 3189 E17 49931 F 12/01-16 84 65 45 13 77 NE16 25 2 1 SW29 2592 E16 38448 P 12/01-17 70 35 13 10 85 NE14 23 2 1 SW25 1995 E16 26964 P 12/01-18 70 35 13 9 87 NE13 21 2 1 SW24 1507 E13 19068 P 12/01-19 70 35 13 7 87 NE12 18 2 1 SW23 1019 E10 11171 P 12/01-20 70 35 13 6 88 NE10 16 2 1 SW23 531 E 7 3274 P 12/01-21 64 35 13 4 97 E 7 7 2 1 SW21 417 E 6 2275 P 12/01-22 64 35 13 3 100 E 5 5 2 1 SW21 303 SE 3 1276 P 12/01-23 64 17 3 2 100 E 2 2 2 1 SW21 189 CALM 277 P 12/02-00 64 17 3 1 100 CALM 1 2 1 SW24 193 S 2 307 P 12/02-01 30 17 3 1 100 CALM 0 2 1 SW28 197 S 2 337 P 12/02-02 30 17 3 2 100 CALM 0 2 1 SW32 201 SW 2 367 P 12/02-03 30 17 3 2 100 CALM 1 2 1 SW33 198 SW 3 552 P 12/02-04 30 17 3 2 100 W 3 3 2 1 SW33 195 SW 5 736 P 12/02-05 30 2 0 2 100 W 5 5 2 1 SW33 193 SW 6 920 P 12/02-06 33 2 0 3 95 SW 6 6 2 1 SW35 182 SW 7 1005 P 12/02-07 33 2 0 5 86 SW 6 6 3 1 SW35 171 SW 7 1091 P 12/02-08 33 2 0 6 82 SW 7 7 3 1 SW33 160 SW 8 1176 P 12/02-09 33 2 0 11 72 SW 6 6 3 1 SW36 314 SW 9 2676 P 12/02-10 33 2 0 18 59 SW 5 5 3 1 SW37 518 SW 9 4597 P 12/02-11 59 4 1 23 49 SW 5 5 3 1 SW37 723 SW10 6518 P 12/02-12 59 4 1 28 41 SW 7 7 3 1 SW37 2571 SW15 48706 F 12/02-13 59 4 1 33 34 SW10 17 3 1 SW35 4419 SW20 90894 G 12/02-14 59 4 1 33 33 SW13 21 3 1 SW33 6267 SW24 133082 V 12/02-15 59 4 1 33 34 SW12 17 3 1 SW31 5553 SW22 107963 V 12/02-16 59 4 1 31 39 SW 8 13 3 1 SW29 4838 SW18 82845 G 12/02-17 57 38 16 29 44 SW 6 6 3 1 SW29 4124 SW16 57727 F 12/02-18 57 38 16 26 49 SW 6 6 3 1 SW30 3378 SW14 42957 F 12/02-19 57 38 16 25 53 SW 7 7 3 1 SW32 2632 S10 28187 P 12/02-20 57 38 16 23 57 W 8 13 3 1 SW35 1886 S 8 13417 P 12/02-21 57 38 16 23 59 W 7 7 3 1 SW37 1843 S 7 10707 P 12/02-22 57 38 16 22 60 SW 6 6 2 1 SW39 1801 SE 5 7997 P 12/02-23 67 38 16 21 62 SW 3 3 2 1 SW40 1758 SE 3 5288 P 12/03-00 67 38 16 20 64 W 2 2 2 1 SW38 1812 SE 5 7508 P 12/03-01 67 38 16 18 68 CALM 1 2 1 SW36 1865 E 6 9729 P 12/03-02 67 38 16 18 69 CALM 1 2 1 SW32 1918 E 7 11949 P 12/03-03 67 38 16 18 69 CALM 1 2 1 SW29 2098 E 8 16146 P 12/03-04 67 38 16 18 70 N 2 2 2 1 SW26 2278 E10 20343 P 12/03-05 73 51 27 17 71 NE 3 3 2 1 SW24 2458 E12 24541 P 12/03-06 73 51 27 17 67 NE 5 5 2 1 SW22 2715 E10 25195 P 12/03-07 73 51 27 16 63 NE 6 6 2 1 SW22 2972 E10 25850 P 12/03-08 73 51 27 16 57 NE 6 6 2 1 SW22 3229 E 9 26505 P 12/03-09 73 51 27 17 53 NE 6 6 2 1 SW21 3616 E 9 27179 P 12/03-10 73 51 27 18 49 NE 5 5 2 1 SW20 4004 E 8 27853 P 12/03-11 71 51 27 18 46 NE 5 5 2 1 SW18 4391 SE 7 28527 P 12/03-12 71 51 27 19 42 NE 5 5 2 1 W18 4385 SE 7 25988 P 12/03-13 71 51 27 19 39 E 6 6 3 1 W20 4379 S 6 23449 P 12/03-14 71 51 27 20 38 E 6 6 3 1 W20 4373 S 6 20910 P 12/03-15 71 51 27 19 39 E 6 6 3 1 W20 4050 S 5 16172 P 12/03-16 71 51 27 18 44 E 5 5 3 1 W20 3727 SW 3 11435 P 12/03-17 65 18 4 17 51 E 5 5 3 1 W20 3403 SW 2 6697 P 12/03-18 65 18 4 15 57 NE 5 5 3 1 W21 3012 SW 2 6605 P 12/03-19 65 18 4 14 61 N 3 3 3 1 W23 2621 SW 3 6513 P 12/03-20 65 18 4 13 65 N 3 3 3 1 W24 2230 SW 3 6422 P 12/03-21 65 18 4 12 67 N 3 3 3 1 W26 2066 SW 5 7093 P 12/03-22 65 18 4 12 69 NW 3 3 3 1 W29 1901 W 5 7764 P 12/03-23 45 9 2 11 70 W 3 3 3 1 W30 1737 W 6 8436 P 12/04-00 45 9 2 11 68 W 3 3 3 1 W29 1465 W 6 7524 P 12/04-01 45 9 2 10 66 W 5 5 3 1 NW26 1193 W 7 6613 P 12/04-02 45 9 2 9 62 W 5 5 3 1 NW25 922 W 7 5701 P 12/04-03 45 9 2 9 59 W 6 6 3 1 NW23 791 W 8 5201 P 12/04-04 45 9 2 9 58 W 6 6 3 1 NW22 661 W 8 4701 P 12/04-05 33 7 1 8 59 W 7 7 3 1 N21 531 W 9 4201 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...TY WEBB REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111201.BUFFA.01/BOU