FNUS75 KGJT 012056
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELECTRA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
156 PM MST THU DEC 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE BOTH TO THE SOUTH AND NORTH OF THE REGION WILL BEGIN TO
PHASE ON FRIDAY BRINGING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE BURN SITE. WINDS
ALOFT WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT...BUT INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH
STORM SYSTEMS WILL AID MIXING. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
EASTWARD SATURDAY WITH COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT. THIS WILL STEEPEN
LAPSE RATES HELPING SMOKE DISPERSAL...HOWEVER WINDS ALOFT WILL
REMAIN LIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......MORNING NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH
                    5-10 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO FAIR BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING NORTHERLY 3-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25300-28100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT...SOUTHERLY WINDS 3-7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111202.ELECT.01/GJT