FNUS75 KBOU 031524 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR REYNOLDS RANCH...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 824 AM MST SAT DEC 3 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SNOW SHOULD BE AT THE HEAVIEST RATES RIGHT NOW...THEN WILL BE DECREASING AS IT CONTINUES THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT SNOW TO BE OVER WITH BY THIS EVENING. THE POST COLD FRONTAL NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON WHILE DIMINISHING AS WELL. COLD FRONT THAT CAME THROUGH OVERNIGHT WILL PRODUCE POOR VENTILATION RATES THROUGH THE DAY. A BRIEF BREAK IN THE WEATHER OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE DAY SUNDAY WILL ONLY ALLOW GOOD VENTILATION RATES BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH OVER THE BURN AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE POOR VENTILATION AGAIN WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND MORE SNOW. SHOULD SEE WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER RETURN AFTER MONDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....15. MIN HUMIDITY........84%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2000...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0500. MIN TEMPERATURE.....9. MAX HUMIDITY........93%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1100...THEN CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1700...THEN SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....17. MIN HUMIDITY........49%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN POOR UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW. HIGHS AROUND 8. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COLD. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 15. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RENOLDSRANCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/03-08 99 96 94 8 100 N 8 13 2 1 SW17 592 NE 7 3740 P 12/03-09 99 96 94 8 100 N 8 8 2 1 SW15 1056 NE 7 6364 P 12/03-10 99 96 94 9 100 NE 7 7 2 1 W14 1521 NE 7 8988 P 12/03-11 94 58 35 10 100 NE 6 6 2 1 W14 1986 E 7 11613 P 12/03-12 94 58 35 11 94 NE 5 5 2 1 W14 2117 E 6 10883 P 12/03-13 94 58 35 13 88 NE 5 5 3 1 W16 2248 SE 6 10153 P 12/03-14 79 58 35 13 84 NE 3 3 3 1 W18 2379 SE 5 9423 P 12/03-15 79 58 35 13 84 E 3 3 3 1 W20 2064 S 5 7733 P 12/03-16 79 58 35 12 85 E 3 3 3 1 W21 1749 S 3 6042 P 12/03-17 61 22 4 11 88 SE 3 3 3 1 W22 1435 S 3 4351 P 12/03-18 61 22 4 9 91 SE 3 3 3 1 W24 1135 S 5 3706 P 12/03-19 61 22 4 9 93 S 3 3 3 1 W26 834 SW 5 3061 P 12/03-20 61 5 1 9 92 SW 3 3 3 1 W29 534 SW 6 2416 P 12/03-21 61 5 1 9 91 SW 3 3 3 1 W32 499 SW 6 2435 P 12/03-22 61 5 1 9 89 W 5 5 3 1 W35 464 W 6 2454 P 12/03-23 34 3 1 9 87 W 6 6 3 1 W36 429 W 7 2473 P 12/04-00 34 3 1 9 86 W 7 7 3 1 W36 498 W 8 3629 P 12/04-01 34 3 1 9 84 W 9 14 3 1 W33 567 W 9 4785 P 12/04-02 34 3 1 9 82 W10 16 3 1 W32 636 W10 5942 P 12/04-03 34 3 1 10 73 W12 18 3 1 W31 703 W12 6994 P 12/04-04 34 3 1 13 63 W13 20 3 1 W29 770 W12 8046 P 12/04-05 50 10 2 9 72 W13 21 4 1 W20 829 W31 22557 P 12/04-06 50 10 2 9 68 W13 20 4 1 W21 942 W30 24795 P 12/04-07 50 10 2 9 64 W12 18 3 1 W22 1055 W30 27034 P 12/04-08 50 10 2 9 61 W10 16 3 1 W23 1168 W29 29273 P 12/04-09 50 10 2 10 59 W 8 8 3 1 W26 2250 W28 49640 F 12/04-10 50 10 2 13 53 W 6 6 2 1 W30 3331 W25 70007 G 12/04-11 77 63 42 16 49 W 3 3 2 1 W33 4412 W23 90373 G 12/04-12 77 63 42 16 52 NW 3 3 2 1 W38 4654 W17 66518 G 12/04-13 77 63 42 17 54 NE 5 5 2 1 W41 4896 W10 42662 F 12/04-14 77 63 42 17 57 E 6 6 2 1 W44 5138 W 5 18807 P 12/04-15 77 63 42 14 65 E 7 7 2 1 SW43 4458 NW 8 26770 P 12/04-16 77 63 42 11 77 E 7 7 2 1 SW41 3778 N12 34734 P 12/04-17 99 77 45 4 100 NE 8 8 2 1 SW39 3098 NE16 42697 F 12/04-18 99 77 45 2 100 NE 9 9 2 1 SW40 2652 NE17 38408 P 12/04-19 99 77 45 -1 100 NE 9 9 2 1 SW41 2206 NE18 34118 P 12/04-20 99 77 45 -1 100 NE 9 9 2 1 SW41 1760 NE20 29829 P 12/04-21 99 77 45 -2 100 NE 9 9 2 1 SW39 1958 NE18 30776 P 12/04-22 99 77 45 -3 100 NE 9 9 2 1 SW37 2155 NE17 31722 P 12/04-23 90 77 45 -3 100 NE 8 8 2 1 SW35 2352 E16 32669 P 12/05-00 90 77 45 -3 100 E 7 7 2 1 SW33 2029 E13 24576 P 12/05-01 90 77 45 -7 100 E 5 5 2 1 SW33 1705 E10 16484 P 12/05-02 90 77 45 -7 100 E 3 3 2 1 SW33 1382 E 7 8391 P 12/05-03 90 77 45 -7 100 E 2 2 2 1 SW31 1356 E 7 7763 P 12/05-04 90 77 45 -6 100 E 2 2 2 1 SW29 1329 SE 6 7134 P 12/05-05 70 16 3 -7 100 E 2 2 2 1 SW26 1303 SE 6 6506 P 12/05-06 70 16 3 -6 98 E 3 3 2 1 SW25 1381 SE 7 8551 P 12/05-07 70 16 3 -6 93 E 3 3 2 1 SW24 1458 S 8 10595 P 12/05-08 70 16 3 -4 82 E 5 5 2 1 SW23 1536 S 9 12640 P 12/05-09 70 16 3 -1 72 SE 3 3 2 1 SW23 1832 S10 17275 P 12/05-10 70 16 3 3 65 SE 3 3 2 1 SW22 2129 S12 21909 P 12/05-11 38 9 2 6 57 SE 2 2 2 1 SW20 2426 S13 26544 P 12/05-12 38 9 2 7 59 SE 2 2 2 1 SW16 2353 S10 22412 P 12/05-13 38 9 2 8 59 SE 3 3 3 1 W12 2280 S 9 18279 P 12/05-14 38 9 2 8 60 SE 3 3 3 1 W 8 2207 SW 7 14147 P 12/05-15 38 9 2 7 62 S 2 2 3 1 W 8 1799 SW 7 10800 P 12/05-16 38 9 2 6 63 W 2 2 3 1 NW10 1392 W 6 7452 P 12/05-17 33 5 1 4 69 CALM 1 3 1 NW12 985 NW 5 4105 P 12/05-18 33 5 1 3 75 CALM 1 3 1 NW13 786 NW 5 3181 P 12/05-19 33 5 1 2 85 W 2 2 3 1 NW13 587 W 5 2256 P 12/05-20 33 5 1 2 87 SW 3 3 3 1 NW14 388 W 3 1332 P 12/05-21 33 5 1 1 75 W 5 5 3 1 NW12 360 W 5 1559 P 12/05-22 33 5 1 1 62 W 7 7 2 1 N10 333 W 7 1787 P 12/05-23 12 3 1 1 52 W 8 8 2 1 N12 305 W 8 2014 P 12/06-00 12 3 1 1 50 W 9 9 3 1 N18 310 W 8 2196 P 12/06-01 12 3 1 0 54 W 9 9 3 1 NE29 314 W 9 2379 P 12/06-02 12 3 1 0 55 W 9 9 4 1 NE38 319 W 9 2561 P 12/06-03 12 3 1 1 51 W10 10 4 1 NE46 321 W 9 2612 P 12/06-04 12 3 1 2 47 W10 10 4 1 NE53 323 W 9 2662 P 12/06-05 24 2 0 1 48 W12 12 4 1 NE60 325 W 9 2713 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MATT HISE- FIRE OPERATIONS SPECIALIST REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111203.REYNO.01/BOU