FNUS75 KGJT 051535
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST MTN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
835 AM MST MON DEC 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND SURFACE TROUGH STRETCHED
FROM THE CENTRAL COLORADO MOUNTAINS TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS THIS
MORNING. THIS WILL ONLY SLOWLY DROP SOUTH TODAY...MORE SO ON THE
WEST END NEARER THE FOUR CORNERS...AND THUS WILL KEEP THE SURFACE
WIND FORECAST CONFIDENCE A BIT BELOW AVERAGE. DRIER AIR WILL WORK
IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. COLDER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL BE OVER THE
BURN AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70%) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50%)
                    AFTER 1200. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    5 MPH AFTER 1400.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6800-14400 KNOT-FT)...FAIR NEAR SNOW SHOWERS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 MPH BY 1500.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50%) BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (20%)
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300-5100 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6700-32000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLY 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH
                    NORTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MIFMU
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111205.WESTM.01/GJT