FNUS75 KBOU 091409 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WARRIORS MARK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 709 AM MST FRI DEC 9 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AN APPROACHING RIDGE WILL PRODUCE LIGHTER WINDS SATURDAY...THEN A DEVELOPING TROUGH ON SUNDAY CAUSE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE. IT WILL BE DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE WINDS ALOFT MAY HELP IMPROVE SMOKE DISPERSION SLIGHTLY...BUT THE TEMPERATURE PROFILE SUGGESTS THE POOR DISPERSION WILL PREVAIL. YOUR BEST CHANCE FOR FAIR DISPERSION LOOKS TO BE IN THE 4 TP 5 PM TIME FRAME. SMOKE DISPERSION IS EXPECTED TO BE GOOD ON SUNDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....26. MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....7. MAX HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........33%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 4 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WARRIORSMARK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/09-06 14 0 0 7 68 W 9 14 3 1 N33 595 NW14 6977 P 12/09-07 14 0 0 7 71 W 8 14 4 1 N35 635 NW13 6720 P 12/09-08 14 0 0 9 69 W 8 13 4 1 N36 674 NW12 6464 P 12/09-09 18 0 0 15 59 W 7 7 4 1 N37 1541 NW12 16192 P 12/09-10 18 0 0 21 51 W 6 6 4 1 NW37 2408 NW12 25921 P 12/09-11 18 0 0 25 46 W 6 6 4 1 NW36 3275 NW13 35650 P 12/09-12 12 0 0 26 46 W 7 7 4 1 NW33 2871 NW14 32525 P 12/09-13 12 0 0 17 67 W 7 7 3 1 NW31 2467 NW14 29399 P 12/09-14 12 0 0 20 58 W 8 13 3 1 NW29 2064 W15 26274 P 12/09-15 12 0 0 26 44 W 8 8 3 1 NW26 2212 NW16 30776 P 12/09-16 12 0 0 26 43 W 7 7 3 1 NW25 2360 NW17 35277 P 12/09-17 13 0 0 24 44 W 6 6 3 1 NW24 2508 NW18 39779 P 12/09-18 13 0 0 21 46 W 6 6 3 1 NW23 2168 NW16 32097 P 12/09-19 13 0 0 20 47 W 6 6 2 1 NW22 1828 NW15 24416 P 12/09-20 13 0 0 19 46 W 6 6 2 1 NW22 1489 NW13 16734 P 12/09-21 13 0 0 12 56 W 6 6 2 1 NW21 1084 NW12 11741 P 12/09-22 13 0 0 12 54 W 5 5 2 1 NW21 680 NW 9 6748 P 12/09-23 6 0 0 11 53 W 5 5 2 1 NW21 275 W 7 1755 P 12/10-00 6 0 0 10 52 W 5 5 2 1 NW21 244 W 7 1495 P 12/10-01 6 0 0 9 52 W 5 5 2 1 NW20 212 W 7 1235 P 12/10-02 6 0 0 9 52 W 5 5 2 1 NW20 181 W 6 975 P 12/10-03 6 0 0 9 51 W 5 5 2 1 NW18 191 W 6 1054 P 12/10-04 6 0 0 9 51 W 5 5 2 1 NW16 202 W 7 1134 P 12/10-05 5 0 0 9 55 W 5 5 2 1 NW15 212 NW 7 1213 P 12/10-06 5 0 0 9 63 W 5 5 2 1 NW15 209 NW 6 1010 P 12/10-07 5 0 0 9 72 NW 3 3 2 1 NW14 206 NW 5 808 P 12/10-08 5 0 0 11 76 NW 2 2 2 1 NW13 203 NW 3 605 P 12/10-09 5 0 0 17 60 CALM 1 2 1 NW13 1111 N 3 2444 P 12/10-10 5 0 0 22 48 CALM 0 2 1 NW12 2019 NE 2 4283 P 12/10-11 5 0 0 27 39 CALM 0 2 1 NW12 2927 E 2 6123 P 12/10-12 5 0 0 30 34 S 2 2 2 1 NW12 3509 E 3 9498 P 12/10-13 5 0 0 32 33 S 5 5 3 1 NW12 4091 S 3 12874 P 12/10-14 5 0 0 33 33 S 6 6 3 1 NW12 4673 S 3 16250 P 12/10-15 5 0 0 32 35 S 5 5 3 1 NW12 3892 SW 5 14046 P 12/10-16 5 0 0 31 38 S 3 3 4 1 NW10 3111 SW 5 11842 P 12/10-17 4 0 0 26 46 S 2 2 4 1 NW10 2330 SW 5 9638 P 12/10-18 4 0 0 24 50 S 2 2 4 1 NW 8 1805 SW 5 7158 P 12/10-19 4 0 0 22 51 S 2 2 4 1 NW 7 1281 SW 3 4677 P 12/10-20 4 0 0 21 49 S 2 2 4 1 NW 6 756 SW 3 2197 P 12/10-21 4 0 0 20 47 SW 2 2 4 1 NW 5 657 SW 3 2146 P 12/10-22 4 0 0 19 45 SW 3 3 4 1 W 5 557 W 5 2094 P 12/10-23 4 0 0 18 43 SW 3 3 4 1 W 7 457 W 5 2043 P 12/11-00 4 0 0 17 44 W 3 3 4 1 W 9 396 W 6 1954 P 12/11-01 4 0 0 16 46 W 3 3 4 1 SW14 334 W 7 1866 P 12/11-02 4 0 0 15 48 W 3 3 4 1 SW18 272 W 8 1777 P 12/11-03 4 0 0 15 50 W 3 3 4 1 W23 252 W 8 1710 P 12/11-04 4 0 0 14 53 W 5 5 4 1 W28 233 W 8 1644 P 12/11-05 9 0 0 13 57 W 5 5 4 1 W31 213 W 8 1577 P 12/11-06 9 0 0 12 60 W 5 5 4 1 W32 228 W 9 1763 P 12/11-07 9 0 0 12 62 W 5 5 4 1 W32 243 W 9 1949 P 12/11-08 9 0 0 14 58 W 5 5 4 1 W31 257 W 9 2135 P 12/11-09 9 0 0 19 47 W 7 7 4 1 W31 1337 W14 24466 P 12/11-10 9 0 0 24 39 W 9 15 4 1 W31 2418 W18 46798 F 12/11-11 13 0 0 29 33 W12 18 4 1 SW32 3498 W23 69130 G 12/11-12 13 0 0 31 30 W13 21 4 1 SW35 3946 W23 80682 G 12/11-13 13 0 0 33 28 W14 22 4 1 SW37 4393 W24 92233 G 12/11-14 13 0 0 33 28 W13 21 4 1 SW38 4841 W24 103785 V 12/11-15 13 0 0 33 28 W10 16 4 1 SW39 4389 W23 89556 G 12/11-16 13 0 0 31 29 W 7 7 4 1 SW38 3936 W22 75327 G 12/11-17 13 0 0 26 36 W 5 5 4 1 SW37 3483 W21 61098 G 12/11-18 13 0 0 23 39 W 3 3 4 1 SW33 3089 W18 50422 F 12/11-19 13 0 0 21 42 W 3 3 3 1 SW29 2694 W16 39746 P 12/11-20 13 0 0 20 43 W 3 3 3 1 SW26 2299 W15 29070 P 12/11-21 13 0 0 19 44 W 3 3 3 1 SW25 2195 W14 26471 P 12/11-22 13 0 0 19 45 W 2 2 2 1 SW26 2091 W13 23872 P 12/11-23 13 0 0 18 46 W 2 2 2 1 SW26 1987 W13 21273 P 12/12-00 13 0 0 17 49 W 3 3 2 1 SW26 1628 W13 17374 P 12/12-01 13 0 0 15 52 W 3 3 2 1 SW28 1269 W13 13474 P 12/12-02 13 0 0 14 55 W 5 5 2 1 SW28 909 W13 9575 P 12/12-03 13 0 0 13 58 W 5 5 2 1 W28 747 W12 7483 P 12/12-04 13 0 0 12 61 W 3 3 2 1 W26 584 W10 5390 P 12/12-05 14 3 1 11 64 W 3 3 2 1 W26 421 W 9 3298 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ROD MORAGA REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111209.WARRI.01/BOU