FNUS75 KBOU 111537 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH BOUNDARY...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 837 AM MST SUN DEC 11 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY...WITH NO PRECIPITATION. SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE TROUGH WILL BE WEAK...THIS WILL HINDER DISPERSION A BIT...BUT SLIGHT WARMING ALOFT AND INCREASING WEST WINDS ALOFT WILL AID SMOKE DISPERSION. WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW AND CONTINUED MILD CONDITIONS ON MONDAY WE EXPECT GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3000-4000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....0. MAX HUMIDITY........95%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....32. MIN HUMIDITY........50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOUTH BOUNDARY. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/11-08 0 0 0 4 72 NE 2 2 3 1 SW10 140 NW 2 271 P 12/11-09 0 0 0 12 66 N 3 3 3 1 SW12 1058 W 8 15560 P 12/11-10 0 0 0 18 65 W 6 6 3 1 SW13 1977 W13 30850 P 12/11-11 15 0 0 24 62 W 8 13 3 1 W14 2896 W18 46139 F 12/11-12 15 0 0 28 56 W 9 15 3 1 W16 3615 W18 60197 G 12/11-13 15 0 0 30 51 W 9 15 2 1 W17 4335 W20 74254 G 12/11-14 15 0 0 30 48 W 9 15 2 1 W20 5054 W20 88311 G 12/11-15 15 0 0 30 48 W 8 13 2 1 W20 4150 W20 70238 G 12/11-16 15 0 0 28 51 W 6 6 2 1 W20 3245 W18 52165 F 12/11-17 14 0 0 22 65 SW 5 5 2 1 W18 2340 W17 34092 P 12/11-18 14 0 0 18 74 W 3 3 2 1 W20 1729 W14 23841 P 12/11-19 14 0 0 16 79 N 2 2 2 1 W20 1118 W10 13590 P 12/11-20 14 0 0 14 80 N 2 2 2 1 W20 507 W 8 3339 P 12/11-21 14 0 0 13 76 NE 2 2 2 1 W20 429 W 7 2529 P 12/11-22 14 0 0 12 71 E 2 2 2 1 W18 351 W 5 1719 P 12/11-23 28 0 0 11 66 SE 2 2 2 1 W20 272 SW 3 909 P 12/12-00 28 0 0 10 65 E 2 2 2 1 SW22 235 SW 3 677 P 12/12-01 28 0 0 8 64 E 3 3 3 1 SW24 197 SW 2 445 P 12/12-02 28 0 0 7 64 E 3 3 3 1 SW26 159 CALM 212 P 12/12-03 28 0 0 6 62 SE 3 3 3 1 SW28 141 SW 2 245 P 12/12-04 28 0 0 5 62 S 2 2 3 1 SW29 122 SW 2 278 P 12/12-05 17 0 0 0 76 S 2 2 3 1 SW30 104 SW 3 311 P 12/12-06 17 0 0 1 81 S 2 2 3 1 SW30 107 SW 3 269 P 12/12-07 17 0 0 1 88 CALM 1 2 1 SW30 111 SW 2 226 P 12/12-08 17 0 0 3 95 CALM 1 2 1 W30 114 SW 2 183 P 12/12-09 17 0 0 10 80 CALM 1 2 1 SW31 1165 SW 6 14557 P 12/12-10 17 0 0 18 64 S 2 2 2 1 SW31 2215 SW10 28932 P 12/12-11 31 0 0 23 59 SW 3 3 2 1 SW32 3266 SW15 43306 F 12/12-12 31 0 0 27 55 SW 5 5 2 1 SW33 3930 SW17 61512 G 12/12-13 31 0 0 31 50 SW 5 5 2 1 SW35 4594 SW20 79718 G 12/12-14 31 0 0 31 50 SW 5 5 2 1 SW36 5258 SW22 97924 G 12/12-15 31 0 0 29 53 SW 3 3 2 1 SW33 4461 SW20 78265 G 12/12-16 31 0 0 26 55 W 2 2 2 1 SW32 3664 SW17 58607 F 12/12-17 40 2 0 23 56 CALM 1 2 1 SW32 2867 SW16 38948 P 12/12-18 40 2 0 18 66 CALM 1 2 1 SW36 2005 SW12 26196 P 12/12-19 40 2 0 18 63 CALM 1 2 1 SW40 1142 W 7 13444 P 12/12-20 40 2 0 15 69 CALM 1 2 1 SW44 279 W 2 692 P 12/12-21 40 2 0 14 71 CALM 1 2 1 SW44 240 W 2 479 P 12/12-22 40 2 0 12 76 CALM 0 2 1 SW43 201 CALM 267 P 12/12-23 38 3 1 12 77 CALM 0 2 1 SW41 161 CALM 54 P 12/13-00 38 3 1 10 81 CALM 0 2 1 SW43 154 CALM 111 P 12/13-01 38 3 1 11 78 CALM 1 2 1 SW45 147 CALM 167 P 12/13-02 38 3 1 10 80 CALM 1 2 1 SW48 140 W 2 224 P 12/13-03 38 3 1 8 79 CALM 1 2 1 SW55 139 W 2 243 P 12/13-04 38 3 1 7 76 CALM 1 2 1 SW63 138 W 2 262 P 12/13-05 41 8 2 7 75 CALM 1 2 1 SW69 136 SW 2 281 P 12/13-06 41 8 2 7 78 CALM 1 2 1 SW71 137 W 2 304 P 12/13-07 41 8 2 8 84 CALM 1 2 1 SW70 137 W 2 328 P 12/13-08 41 8 2 9 91 W 2 2 2 1 SW64 137 W 3 351 P 12/13-09 41 8 2 14 83 SW 3 3 2 1 SW54 915 SW 5 5639 P 12/13-10 41 8 2 21 73 SW 5 5 2 1 SW40 1693 S 6 10927 P 12/13-11 38 8 2 24 71 SW 6 6 2 1 S31 2471 S 8 16214 P 12/13-12 38 8 2 27 69 SW 7 7 2 1 SW29 3304 S10 32523 P 12/13-13 38 8 2 30 66 SW 7 7 2 1 SW31 4137 SW13 48832 F 12/13-14 38 8 2 31 66 SW 7 7 2 1 SW37 4969 SW15 65141 G 12/13-15 38 8 2 30 66 W 7 7 2 1 SW46 4268 SW15 54659 F 12/13-16 38 8 2 29 68 W 6 6 2 1 SW58 3566 SW14 44178 F 12/13-17 49 11 2 25 76 W 6 6 2 1 SW64 2864 SW14 33697 P 12/13-18 49 11 2 21 85 W 6 6 2 1 SW61 2347 SW14 28210 P 12/13-19 49 11 2 21 82 W 6 6 2 1 SW54 1829 W15 22723 P 12/13-20 49 11 2 19 86 W 6 6 2 1 SW46 1311 W15 17237 P 12/13-21 49 11 2 18 83 W 6 6 2 1 SW41 1342 W15 17374 P 12/13-22 49 11 2 17 82 SW 5 5 2 1 SW37 1373 W15 17512 P 12/13-23 38 11 2 17 80 SW 5 5 2 1 SW32 1404 W15 17650 P 12/14-00 38 11 2 16 84 SW 6 6 2 1 SW28 1601 W16 22521 P 12/14-01 38 11 2 16 85 W 6 6 2 1 SW23 1797 W17 27392 P 12/14-02 38 11 2 15 89 W 7 7 2 1 SW20 1994 W18 32263 P 12/14-03 38 11 2 14 89 W 7 7 2 1 W18 2080 W20 35850 P 12/14-04 38 11 2 14 84 W 7 7 2 1 W20 2165 W21 39438 P 12/14-05 50 16 3 14 79 W 7 7 2 1 W21 2251 W22 43025 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111211.SOUTH.01/BOU