FNUS75 KBOU 111203 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TONAHUTU...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 451 AM MST SUN DEC 11 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF COLORADO TODAY AS THE FLOW ALOFT SHIFTS MORE WESTERLY. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY TODAY WITH WEAKER LOW LEVEL INVERSIONS AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER MOUNTAIN LEVEL WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-39. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....1. MAX HUMIDITY........85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....33. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TONAHUTU. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/11-04 2 0 0 5 47 NW 3 3 4 1 S10 139 W 3 420 P 12/11-05 0 0 0 4 55 W 3 3 4 1 S10 134 W 3 441 P 12/11-06 0 0 0 3 60 W 3 3 4 1 S10 143 W 5 508 P 12/11-07 0 0 0 2 64 W 3 3 3 1 SW10 153 W 5 575 P 12/11-08 0 0 0 5 62 NW 3 3 3 1 SW12 162 W 5 642 P 12/11-09 0 0 0 13 56 W 5 5 3 1 SW12 1014 W 9 15167 P 12/11-10 0 0 0 20 55 W 7 7 3 1 SW13 1867 W14 29693 P 12/11-11 16 0 0 26 53 W 8 13 3 1 SW14 2719 W18 44218 F 12/11-12 16 0 0 31 47 W 9 15 3 1 W16 3430 W20 58154 F 12/11-13 16 0 0 33 42 W10 16 3 1 W17 4141 W20 72090 G 12/11-14 16 0 0 33 39 W10 16 3 1 W18 4853 W21 86026 G 12/11-15 16 0 0 33 39 W 9 15 3 1 W20 3957 W20 68366 G 12/11-16 16 0 0 31 41 W 8 8 2 1 W20 3061 W18 50706 F 12/11-17 14 0 0 24 54 W 6 6 2 1 W18 2164 W17 33045 P 12/11-18 14 0 0 20 60 W 5 5 2 1 W20 1622 W15 23538 P 12/11-19 14 0 0 18 64 W 3 3 2 1 W20 1080 W13 14031 P 12/11-20 14 0 0 16 64 W 3 3 2 1 W20 537 W 9 4524 P 12/11-21 14 0 0 15 62 W 3 3 2 1 W20 457 W 8 3504 P 12/11-22 14 0 0 14 59 W 3 3 3 1 W20 377 W 7 2484 P 12/11-23 28 0 0 13 56 W 3 3 3 1 W21 297 W 6 1464 P 12/12-00 28 0 0 11 56 W 3 3 3 1 SW23 255 W 5 1146 P 12/12-01 28 0 0 10 55 W 3 3 3 1 SW25 214 W 5 828 P 12/12-02 28 0 0 8 55 W 3 3 3 1 SW28 172 W 3 510 P 12/12-03 28 0 0 7 54 W 3 3 3 1 SW29 154 W 3 496 P 12/12-04 28 0 0 6 55 SW 3 3 3 1 SW30 135 SW 5 482 P 12/12-05 17 0 0 1 69 SW 3 3 3 1 SW30 116 SW 5 468 P 12/12-06 17 0 0 1 74 SW 3 3 3 1 SW31 121 SW 5 422 P 12/12-07 17 0 0 2 81 SW 2 2 2 1 SW31 126 SW 3 375 P 12/12-08 17 0 0 3 89 SW 2 2 2 1 W31 130 SW 3 329 P 12/12-09 17 0 0 12 70 SW 3 3 2 1 SW32 947 SW 7 10843 P 12/12-10 17 0 0 22 53 SW 3 3 2 1 SW32 1763 SW10 21357 P 12/12-11 32 0 0 26 49 SW 5 5 2 1 SW33 2579 SW14 31871 P 12/12-12 32 0 0 29 48 SW 5 5 2 1 SW35 3463 SW17 54164 F 12/12-13 32 0 0 32 45 SW 5 5 2 1 SW36 4347 SW20 76457 G 12/12-14 32 0 0 32 45 SW 5 5 2 1 SW37 5230 SW22 98750 G 12/12-15 32 0 0 30 48 SW 3 3 2 1 SW36 4603 SW21 82798 G 12/12-16 32 0 0 27 50 W 2 2 2 1 SW35 3976 SW18 66847 G 12/12-17 41 2 0 24 51 CALM 1 2 1 SW35 3350 SW17 50895 F 12/12-18 41 2 0 18 62 CALM 1 2 1 SW38 2432 SW14 34852 P 12/12-19 41 2 0 18 60 CALM 1 2 1 SW41 1514 W 9 18810 P 12/12-20 41 2 0 15 67 CALM 1 2 1 SW45 596 W 6 2767 P 12/12-21 41 2 0 14 69 CALM 1 2 1 SW45 460 W 3 1892 P 12/12-22 41 2 0 11 74 CALM 1 2 1 SW45 323 W 2 1016 P 12/12-23 38 3 1 11 75 CALM 1 2 1 SW45 186 CALM 141 P 12/13-00 38 3 1 10 77 CALM 1 2 1 SW46 173 CALM 212 P 12/13-01 38 3 1 11 73 CALM 1 2 1 SW47 160 W 2 283 P 12/13-02 38 3 1 10 73 CALM 1 2 1 SW51 146 W 2 355 P 12/13-03 38 3 1 9 72 CALM 1 2 1 SW58 147 W 3 386 P 12/13-04 38 3 1 8 68 CALM 1 2 1 SW64 148 W 3 417 P 12/13-05 41 9 2 7 68 CALM 1 2 1 SW70 149 W 3 448 P 12/13-06 41 9 2 8 72 CALM 1 2 1 SW71 149 W 3 458 P 12/13-07 41 9 2 8 77 W 2 2 2 1 SW71 149 W 3 468 P 12/13-08 41 9 2 9 85 W 3 3 2 1 SW66 149 W 3 477 P 12/13-09 41 9 2 16 74 W 5 5 2 1 SW55 667 SW 5 3514 P 12/13-10 41 9 2 23 63 SW 6 6 2 1 SW43 1185 S 6 6550 P 12/13-11 39 9 2 26 62 SW 7 7 2 1 S33 1702 S 7 9586 P 12/13-12 39 9 2 29 62 SW 7 7 2 1 SW31 2668 S 9 25941 P 12/13-13 39 9 2 31 61 SW 7 7 2 1 SW33 3633 SW12 42295 F 12/13-14 39 9 2 31 62 W 7 7 2 1 SW40 4598 SW15 58650 F 12/13-15 39 9 2 31 62 W 7 7 2 1 SW49 4042 SW15 51329 F 12/13-16 39 9 2 29 62 W 7 7 2 1 SW60 3486 SW15 44008 F 12/13-17 50 12 2 25 70 W 7 7 2 1 SW67 2929 SW15 36688 P 12/13-18 50 12 2 21 81 W 7 7 2 1 SW64 2523 SW16 33332 P 12/13-19 50 12 2 21 80 W 6 6 2 1 SW58 2116 W17 29975 P 12/13-20 50 12 2 19 86 W 6 6 2 1 SW49 1710 W18 26619 P 12/13-21 50 12 2 18 82 W 6 6 2 1 SW44 1631 W17 24345 P 12/13-22 50 12 2 16 81 SW 5 5 2 1 SW39 1552 W16 22071 P 12/13-23 39 12 2 16 77 SW 5 5 2 1 SW35 1473 W15 19797 P 12/14-00 39 12 2 15 81 SW 6 6 2 1 SW29 1593 W16 23275 P 12/14-01 39 12 2 16 81 W 6 6 2 1 SW23 1713 W17 26753 P 12/14-02 39 12 2 16 84 W 7 7 2 1 SW20 1834 W18 30231 P 12/14-03 39 12 2 14 82 W 7 7 2 1 W18 1911 W20 33590 P 12/14-04 39 12 2 14 77 W 7 7 2 1 W18 1988 W22 36950 P 12/14-05 50 17 3 14 72 W 7 7 2 1 W18 2065 W23 40310 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ZACH BECKER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111211.TONAH.01/BOU