FNUS74 KEPZ 121715
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR 3 CIRCLES PILES...SILVER CITY DISP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1015 AM MST MON DEC 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MST ON DECEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING RELATIVELY WARM AND VERY WET
WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS
MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING WILL
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
LIKELY TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SNOW WILL BE LIMITED TO ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 7500 FEET AND ONLY THE HIGHEST PEAKS ARE LIKELY TO HAVE ANY
ACCUMULATING SNOW. THIS IS A VERY WET SYSTEM WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR FLOODING OVER THE BOOT HEEL AND INTO THE GILA REGION FROM
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN
AS THE SYSTEM EXITS TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT THERE COULD BE SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW ABOVE 6000 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL BRING MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WITH
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER STORM
COULD BRING RAIN AND SNOW NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111212.3CIRC.01/EPZ