FNUS75 KBOU 131155 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR KAWUNEECHE...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 455 AM MST TUE DEC 13 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE NEARS WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES OVERHEAD. THIS WILL BRING A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY THEN A GREATER CHANCE TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER TODAY FROM THE CLOUD COVER. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE GOOD TODAY AS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE NEARS AND WILL SEE EVEN MORE IMPROVEMENT WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME STRONGER WEDNESDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES EAST AND CREATES A GRADIENT FOR GUSTY WEST WINDS UP TO 30 MPH. EXPECT DRY AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....36. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....12. MAX HUMIDITY........77%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0500...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....29. MIN HUMIDITY........51%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 9. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 5. HIGHS AROUND 30. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR KAWUNEECHE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 12/13-04 55 10 2 1 62 W 2 2 2 1 SW55 145 W 3 475 P 12/13-05 55 10 2 1 66 CALM 1 2 1 SW52 136 SW 3 355 P 12/13-06 55 10 2 3 73 CALM 1 2 1 SW43 145 W 3 401 P 12/13-07 55 10 2 3 80 CALM 1 2 1 S32 155 W 3 447 P 12/13-08 55 10 2 6 83 W 2 2 2 1 S25 164 W 3 492 P 12/13-09 55 10 2 11 75 SW 3 3 2 1 S24 1509 W10 27774 P 12/13-10 55 10 2 18 71 SW 3 3 2 1 SW25 2854 SW16 55057 F 12/13-11 53 10 2 24 66 SW 5 5 2 1 SW30 4198 SW23 82339 G 12/13-12 53 10 2 29 62 SW 6 6 2 1 SW32 4538 SW24 93768 G 12/13-13 53 10 2 31 61 SW 6 6 2 1 SW37 4877 SW24 105196 V 12/13-14 53 10 2 33 59 SW 6 6 2 1 SW40 5216 SW25 116625 V 12/13-15 53 10 2 30 58 W 5 5 2 1 SW46 4654 SW22 90775 G 12/13-16 53 10 2 29 56 W 2 2 2 1 SW49 4093 W17 64925 G 12/13-17 79 34 13 26 60 CALM 1 2 1 SW51 3532 W13 39075 P 12/13-18 79 34 13 25 63 CALM 1 2 1 SW45 3065 SW 9 27919 P 12/13-19 79 34 13 23 65 CALM 1 3 1 SW36 2597 S 6 16762 P 12/13-20 79 34 13 23 66 N 2 2 3 1 SW26 2130 S 3 5606 P 12/13-21 79 34 13 22 65 N 2 2 3 1 SW21 2143 S 3 7389 P 12/13-22 79 34 13 22 64 NW 3 3 3 1 SW16 2157 W 5 9172 P 12/13-23 96 53 28 21 64 NW 3 3 3 1 SW13 2170 NW 6 10956 P 12/14-00 96 53 28 20 66 NW 3 3 3 1 W13 2127 NW 8 14410 P 12/14-01 96 53 28 18 69 W 5 5 2 1 W14 2083 NW10 17864 P 12/14-02 96 53 28 16 71 W 5 5 2 1 W16 2039 NW12 21318 P 12/14-03 96 53 28 16 70 W 6 6 2 1 NW18 2090 W15 27741 P 12/14-04 96 53 28 15 68 W 7 7 3 1 NW21 2142 W18 34165 P 12/14-05 92 52 28 13 68 W 8 8 3 1 NW22 2193 W22 40588 F 12/14-06 92 52 28 13 71 W 9 14 3 1 NW21 2338 W23 46924 F 12/14-07 92 52 28 12 75 W10 16 3 1 NW21 2483 W24 53259 F 12/14-08 85 52 28 16 77 W12 17 3 1 NW21 2627 W26 59595 F 12/14-09 85 52 28 18 75 W13 18 3 1 NW22 3445 W28 86419 G 12/14-10 85 52 28 20 70 W14 21 2 1 NW23 4264 W30 113243 V 12/14-11 78 36 14 24 62 W15 23 2 1 NW25 5082 W32 140067 V 12/14-12 78 36 14 26 57 W17 26 2 1 NW26 5372 W35 160017 E 12/14-13 78 36 14 28 53 W20 30 2 1 W29 5662 W37 179967 E 12/14-14 71 36 14 29 51 W22 33 2 1 W30 5952 W39 199917 E 12/14-15 71 36 14 27 52 W22 33 2 1 NW29 5619 W39 190290 E 12/14-16 71 36 14 26 54 W21 31 2 1 NW26 5287 W39 180662 E 12/14-17 60 21 4 24 57 W20 30 2 1 N25 4954 W40 171034 E 12/14-18 60 21 4 21 61 W18 28 2 1 N25 4439 W37 144286 V 12/14-19 60 21 4 20 63 W17 25 2 1 N25 3924 W33 117537 V 12/14-20 60 21 4 19 63 W15 23 2 1 N25 3409 W31 90789 G 12/14-21 60 21 4 17 66 W14 21 2 1 N25 3173 W29 78954 G 12/14-22 60 21 4 16 67 W13 20 2 1 N24 2937 W26 67119 G 12/14-23 52 16 3 16 68 W12 17 2 1 N24 2701 W23 55284 F 12/15-00 52 16 3 15 66 W12 16 2 1 N24 2482 W21 46447 F 12/15-01 52 16 3 15 64 W10 16 2 1 NW24 2264 W18 37611 P 12/15-02 52 16 3 14 62 W10 16 2 1 NW24 2045 W16 28774 P 12/15-03 52 16 3 14 62 W10 15 2 1 NW24 1915 W16 26790 P 12/15-04 52 16 3 13 61 W10 15 2 1 N23 1785 W16 24805 P 12/15-05 25 0 0 13 61 W 9 14 2 1 N22 1656 W16 22821 P 12/15-06 25 0 0 12 63 W 8 8 2 1 N21 1602 W15 20703 P 12/15-07 25 0 0 13 64 SW 7 7 2 1 NW21 1549 W14 18585 P 12/15-08 25 0 0 13 64 SW 6 6 2 1 NW20 1496 W13 16467 P 12/15-09 25 0 0 15 62 SW 6 6 2 1 NW18 2092 W13 24538 P 12/15-10 25 0 0 19 58 SW 6 6 3 1 W18 2687 W14 32609 P 12/15-11 12 0 0 23 51 SW 7 7 3 1 W17 3283 W14 40681 F 12/15-12 12 0 0 27 46 SW 8 8 3 1 W18 3619 W16 51673 F 12/15-13 12 0 0 28 43 SW10 15 3 1 W20 3956 W18 62666 G 12/15-14 12 0 0 29 41 SW12 17 3 1 W21 4292 W20 73659 G 12/15-15 12 0 0 28 43 SW12 17 3 1 W22 3802 W21 67915 G 12/15-16 12 0 0 26 45 SW12 17 2 1 W23 3311 W22 62171 G 12/15-17 19 0 0 25 47 SW10 16 2 1 SW24 2820 W23 56427 F 12/15-18 19 0 0 21 53 SW 9 14 2 1 SW25 2449 W21 45496 F 12/15-19 19 0 0 19 55 SW 8 8 2 1 SW26 2079 W18 34565 P 12/15-20 19 0 0 19 54 SW 8 8 2 1 SW28 1708 W16 23635 P 12/15-21 19 0 0 16 58 SW 7 7 2 1 SW30 1453 W14 18307 P 12/15-22 19 0 0 15 58 SW 6 6 2 1 SW32 1197 W12 12978 P 12/15-23 46 0 0 14 58 SW 5 5 2 1 SW33 941 W 9 7650 P 12/16-00 46 0 0 14 57 SW 5 5 2 1 SW35 877 W 8 6300 P 12/16-01 46 0 0 13 56 W 3 3 2 1 SW36 813 W 7 4950 P 12/16-02 46 0 0 13 55 W 3 3 2 1 SW37 750 W 6 3600 P 12/16-03 46 0 0 12 55 W 3 3 2 1 SW36 627 W 5 2622 P 12/16-04 46 0 0 12 56 W 3 3 2 1 SW35 504 W 3 1645 P 12/16-05 58 18 4 11 58 W 3 3 2 1 SW32 381 NW 2 667 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFF SINGER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111213.KAWUN.02/BOU