FNUS74 KEPZ 132047
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NOGAL PILE BURN...STATE OF NEW MEXICO FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
147 PM MST TUE DEC 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1355 MST ON DECEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL MOVE
INLAND AND WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES ARIZONA TONIGHT...THEN LIFTS
NORTHEAST OVER NEW MEXICO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE BRINGING MOIST AIR TO THE
REGION TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY WITH RAIN AND RAIN SHOWERS
THAT MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO
AROUND 6000 FEET OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ALOFT WILL BRING
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL. ANOTHER STORM COULD BRING
RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (22800 KT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 11 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (66000 KT-FT).


$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111213.NOGAL.01/EPZ