FNUS75 KGJT 131519
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELECTRA LAKE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
819 AM MST TUE DEC 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON DECEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS STRETCHED FROM EASTERN
MONTANA SOUTHWEST TO SAN DIEGO. MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR
WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM OVER THE BURN SITE FROM THE SOUTHWEST TODAY
AND THIS EVENING PRODUCING PERIODS OF SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN THIS
AFTERNOON. THE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY
SHIFTING THE FLOW ALOFT TO WEST AND DIMINISHING SHOWERS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-39 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-8 MPH INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR AT 1030 INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (77000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....17-22 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 37200 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST .

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23700-38400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (78200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111213.ELECT.01/GJT