FNUS72 KILM 131634
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR WINNABOW BURN...NC FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1134 AM EST TUE DEC 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON DECEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION
THROUGH MID WEEK...BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE ON THURSDAY. EXPECT A
BRIEF WARM-UP THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO PASS ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE TO
FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 14
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX ADI.............70.
MAX LVORI...........4.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............15     11     10     11
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52     59     60     55
RH..................69     53     52     61
20 FT WIND..........N 5    N 5    N 4    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     5      5
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................70     46     60     35

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MAX ADI.............19.
MAX LVORI...........6.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............14     14     10     7      6      9
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52     48     45     44     42     41
RH..................67     75     85     86     87     85
20 FT WIND..........N 2    N 2    N 2    N 2    N 2    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5                    5      5      5
LVORI...............3      4      6      6      6      6
ADI.................19     1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1000-2600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
MAX ADI.............30.
MAX LVORI...........6.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............11     12     11     6      6      10
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     41     50     58     61     61
RH..................82     71     49     36     33     38
20 FT WIND..........N 3    N 5    N 5    N 5    NE 5   NE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     10     10     5
LVORI...............6      4      2      2      2      2
ADI.................1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...KEEBLER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN COUNCIL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111213.WINNA.01/ILM