FNUS76 KMFR 131301
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRIDER CREEK PILES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
501 AM PST TUE DEC 13 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PST ON DECEMBER 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL AFFECT THE BURN SITE THE
NEXT COUPLE DAYS...LEADING TO LIGHT WINDS AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. MORNING FOG COULD FORM AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE
BURN WEDNESDAY MORNING. MIXING WILL BE POOR TO MARGINAL THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE
SOME AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH
THE BURN SITE LATE THURSDAY MORNING BUT SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY WITH
JUST A COUPLE TENTHS OF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION. MIXING SHOULD IMPROVE
THURSDAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...WITH MIXING WINDS SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH IN THE MORNING EXCEPT
                    EAST 1 TO 3 MPH ABOVE 2000 FEET AGL
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST WIND 1 TO 3 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING BECOMING 2000-2500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY WITH PATCHY FOG AT THE BOTTOM
    OF THE BURN SITE LATE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-29.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY SOUTHWEST WIND 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 4 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING BECOMING 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS KING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111213.GRIDE.01/MFR