FNUS75 KGJT 141642
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE MOUNTAIN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
942 AM MST WED DEC 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MST ON DECEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL TRACK EAST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
EAST...SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE AREA WILL DECREASE. HOWEVER MIXING
WILL BE GOOD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON DUE TO THE INSTABILITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. A QUICK MOVING RIDGE WILL
DOMINATE ON THURSDAY FOR STABLE CONDITIONS AND POOR SMOKE
DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR...GOOD FOR A
                    SHORT PERIOD AROUND 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....15-20 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-41 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL
                    1200...THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX 12300 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE MUELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111214.FIREM.01/GJT