FNUS75 KGJT 141625
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FOUR COMMUNITIES...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
925 AM MST WED DEC 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON DECEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL TRACK EAST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
EAST...SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE AREA WILL DECREASE. HOWEVER MIXING
WILL BE GOOD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON DUE TO THE INSTABILITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. A QUICK MOVING RIDGE WILL
DOMINATE ON THURSDAY FOR STABLE CONDITIONS AND POOR SMOKE
DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE 0-3 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-16 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 0-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH...SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700-28000 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE MUELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111214.FOURC.01/GJT