FNUS74 KHUN 141326 FWSHUN SPOT FORECAST FOR MP 334 PILE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL 726 AM CST WED DEC 14 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 CST ON DECEMBER 14. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AREAS OF FOG EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DISSIPATE BETWEEN 9AM AND 10AM. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHERLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS WELL AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...HOWEVER...A FEW SHOWERS MAY MOVE INTO THE BURN SITE SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE. THE MAJORITY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE RAINFALL...HOWEVER...A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER CANNOT BE RULED OUT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF FRIDAY NIGHT. WINDS DURING THE PERIOD WILL TURN TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY AND THEN EVENTUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 200 FEET AT IGNITION TIME TODAY BUT ARE EXPECTED TO RISE THROUGH THE DAY TO 3000-4000FT THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM 60-70 PERCENT AND WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE INTO THE LOWER 50S BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....AREAS WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 54 62 67 69 65 RH..............91 78 63 54 50 56 20 FT WIND......SE 3 S 7 S 9 S 9 S 8 S 7 MIX HGT (FT)....200 500 500 3600 4100 4100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 S 13 S 13 SW 23 S 23 S 23 DISPERSION IDX..0 1 1 81 87 87 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............63 61 59 58 57 56 RH..............59 65 70 75 81 89 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 7 S 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 MIX HGT (FT)....200 200 300 300 300 500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 9 S 12 S 14 S 14 S 20 DISPERSION IDX..6 8 10 12 12 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 30 30 30 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................80 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............55 57 62 66 68 67 RH..............97 96 85 76 72 74 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 10 SW 13 SW 14 SW 10 W 6 MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 1000 1800 1800 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 17 SW 17 SW 22 SW 22 SW 16 DISPERSION IDX..18 18 23 40 40 37 CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 80 80 80 $$ FORECASTER...AMIN REQUESTED BY...ANDREW SCHNETZER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111214.MP334.02/HUN