FNUS72 KJAX 141335
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNER POND...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
835 AM EST WED DEC 14 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 EST ON DECEMBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MEAN LAYER HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST TO EAST TODAY WITH
SPEEDS AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH AT THE FIRE SITE BY THIS AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AREA OF FOG TO DEVELOP...POSSIBLY
LOCALLY DENSE WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     44     34     29     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     70     75     76     75
RH..............95     80     57     47     54
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 7   E 8    E 9    NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   3400   4600   4600   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15   E 15   E 15   E 15   E 15
LVORI...........M      M      M      M      M
DISPERSION INDX.42     62     81     59     65
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........28     28     39     39     35     41
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............66     61     58     56     54     53
RH..............66     81     89     89     93     99
20 FT WIND......NE 7   NE 6   E 5    E 3    E 3    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   1600   1100   600    400    600
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15   E 13   E 9    E 6    E 5    E 6
LVORI...........7      7      7      7      7      7
DISPERSION INDX.50     6      4      3      2      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...MARK PLOSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111214.PENNE.01/JAX