FNUS71 KAKQ 150132 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR ANTIOCH PINES UNIT 9 SITE PREP...DCR-DNH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 832 PM EST WED DEC 14 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFF THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING STATIONARY OVER THE CAROLINAS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THIS FRONT AND BRING INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. ADI.................26...INCREASING TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 25 EARLY...DECREASING TO 15...DECREASING TO 2 LATE. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL BY LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH...DECREASING TO 12 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH LATE...BECOMING NORTH LATE...BECOMING WEST AROUND 2 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO GOOD (22800-66100 FT-MPH)...DECREASING TO VERY POOR (0-7600 FT-MPH). LVORI...............3. ADI.................26...INCREASING TO 43 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 25 EARLY...DECREASING TO 15...DECREASING TO 2 LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............26 22 17 24 31 38 45 52 59 63 66 70 73 77 81 81 81 82 82 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................62 64 66 67 67 67 66 65 63 62 62 62 61 61 60 60 59 58 57 RH..................50 46 45 45 45 47 50 52 56 60 60 62 65 67 69 69 72 75 75 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 2.1 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W 20 FT WIND SPD......12 13 15 15 15 15 14 13 12 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW N W TRANSP WIND SPD.....20 23 26 28 29 28 25 23 21 20 20 20 21 21 18 12 5 0 2 VRATE KT-FT/1000....25 43 64 65 66 62 41 23 8 7 7 7 7 7 6 4 1 0 1 LVORI...............2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 3 ADI.................26 43 58 61 63 61 29 20 18 17 17 18 18 18 17 11 4 0 3 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. ADI.................12...DECREASING TO 6 LATE. LVORI...............3. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1800-16800 FT-MPH). LVORI...............3. ADI.................12...DECREASING TO 6 LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............83 83 86 89 91 94 97 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................56 56 57 59 60 60 58 57 55 53 52 50 RH..................77 74 72 64 62 62 64 64 66 69 69 71 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.6 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W NW NW NW N N N NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.....8 13 14 14 14 13 12 10 10 12 10 7 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 3 6 9 12 14 16 17 16 17 14 10 LVORI...............3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 ADI.................8 14 16 16 15 14 13 11 12 12 11 6 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 FORECASTER...HURLEY REQUESTED BY...REBECCA WILSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111215.ANTIO.01/AKQ