FNUS73 KAPX 161536 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST CREEK PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1036 AM EST FRI DEC 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0945 EST ON DECEMBER 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY...BRINGING A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MASS TO THE BURN SITE. THERE MAY BE SOME LAKE EFFECT LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES THROUGH TODAY...BUT THESE WILL BE CONFINED MORE TOWARD NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND VERY LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST...AND WILL BE A BIT GUSTY THROUGH THIS MORNING...BUT WILL DIMINISH SOMEWHAT DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). FLURRIES UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........28 AT IGNITION...MAX 29. RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 90 90 90 94 94 94 95 95 WEATHER COV.....OCL OCL OCL OCL DEF DEF DEF SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TEMP............28 28 28 27 27 27 27 27 27 RH..............85 85 75 68 60 57 57 57 57 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 16. RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........95 100 100 100 100 100 100 64 64 64 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TEMP............26 25 24 22 21 20 20 20 19 19 19 19 RH..............62 65 68 74 77 81 77 74 77 74 74 74 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 29. RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........64 48 48 48 69 69 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............18 18 21 25 27 27 RH..............73 73 71 62 57 57 20 FT WIND......SW 1 SW 1 SW 2 S 3 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...NICK SCHWARTZ REQUESTED BY...ANDERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111216.LOSTC.01/APX