FNUS72 KCAE 181350 FWSCAE SPOT FORECAST FOR SRS C-77 AND 82...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 850 AM EST SUN DEC 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON DECEMBER 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO OUR WEST WILL BUILD EAST INTO OUR REGION TODAY. AN AXIS OF HIGHER DEWPOINTS CURRENTLY STRETCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PART OF SOUTH CAROLINA. THE MODELS SHIFT THIS AXIS WEST OR SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH COULD LEAD TO INCREASING DEWPOINTS LATER THIS MORNING AT YOUR LOCATION AS OPPOSED TO THE NORMAL TREND OF LOWERING DEWPOINTS WITH DAYTIME HEATING. THERE IS SOME DISCREPANCY IN THE GUIDANCE WITH REGARDS TO HOW LOW DEWPOINTS WILL GET THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CSRA/SRS TODAY. UPDATED FORECAST TAKES A MODEL BLEND...AND KEEPS THE MINIMUM RH AT YOUR LOCATION JUST ABOVE 25 PERCENT. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN DEWPOINTS/RH TODAY IS LOWER THAN NORMAL. WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE INITIALLY THIS MORNING...BUT SHOULD TREND TOWARDS DECREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER GETS CLOSER. WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE OVERNIGHT...THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG MONDAY MORNING...RESTRICTED MAINLY TO AREAS PRONE TO FOG. .TODAY... TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%)..............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV.......... WEATHER TYPE......... TEMP.................50 53 55 58 60 60 57 RH...................47 40 34 29 26 26 30 20 FT WIND DIR.......N NE NE NE N N N 20 FT WIND DIR.......020 030 030 030 010 010 020 20 FT WIND SPD.......4 4 4 4 3 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST......10 10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)........2.7 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.1 TRANSP WIND DIR......NE NE NE NE N N N TRANSP WIND SPD......14 13 10 9 7 6 6 LVORI................M M M M M M M .TONIGHT... TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)..............0 0 1 2 2 5 WEATHER COV.......... WEATHER TYPE.........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP.................52 43 39 36 34 32 RH...................37 60 76 82 85 88 20 FT WIND...........NE 2 NE 1 E 1 E 1 E 1 E 1 20 FT WIND GUST......5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT).........1900 600 300 400 300 100 TRANSPORT WIND.......NE 6 N 5 NE 3 E 5 E 5 E 3 LVORI................M M M M M M .MONDAY... TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)..............7 9 14 19 22 30 WEATHER COV.......... WEATHER TYPE.........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP.................31 32 45 57 63 64 RH...................85 85 55 38 35 38 20 FT WIND...........E 1 E 2 SE 3 S 4 S 4 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST......5 5 5 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT).........400 1100 2300 3300 3500 2700 TRANSPORT WIND.......E 5 E 6 SE 9 S 12 S 13 S 12 LVORI................M M M M M M $$ FORECASTER...MILLER REQUESTED BY...JAMIE ATKINS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111218.SRSC7.01/CAE