FNUS73 KDDC 191339 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH DEADHORSE PILES...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 739 AM CST MON DEC 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON DECEMBER 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO WEST TEXAS TODAY AS A COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTH ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS. AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN, SLEET, AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP EARLY IN THE DAY. AREAS NORTHWEST OF A LIBERAL TO DODGE CITY TO LARNED WILL LIKELY SEE MAINLY SNOW WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW BEING POSSIBLE BY EARLY EVENING. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL THEN DEVELOP AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND PRODUCE WIDESPREAD 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOWFALL BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THERE WILL ALSO BE A FEW AREAS WHERE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE AS HIGH AS ONE FOOT. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED TODAY AS NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS AND PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL RESULT IN VISIBILITIES FALLING TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES LATE TODAY AND OVERNIGHT DUE TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. HIGHS TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL OCCUR EARLY WITH TEMPERATURES THEN HOLDING NEARLY STEADY OR FALLING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN THROUGH THE DAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW OR LIGHT SLEET IN THE AFTERNOON. BLOWING SNOW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH 18 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 28 TO 32 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY OCNL OCNL OCNL WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............42 42 40 37 RH..............82 73 73 79 20 FT WIND......N 9 N 14 NE 15 NE 16 20 FT WIND GUST.20 30 35 35 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 9 N 14 NE 15 NE 16 WIND GUST..20 30 35 35 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). BLOWING SNOW. OCCASIONAL SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 17 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. CWR.................100 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 31 TO 39 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 41 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....BLSNOW BLSNOW BLSNOW BLSNOW BLSNOW BLSNOW TEMP............35 32 28 26 25 24 RH..............82 85 92 96 96 96 20 FT WIND......NE 17 NE 18 NE 18 NE 16 N 14 N 14 20 FT WIND GUST.35 40 35 35 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 17 NE 18 NE 18 NE 16 N 14 N 14 WIND GUST..35 40 35 35 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28. MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. CWR.................100 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 91 80 WEATHER COV.....OCNL LIKELY CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW NONE TEMP............23 22 25 27 28 28 RH..............96 100 88 85 81 81 20 FT WIND......N 14 N 14 N 13 N 12 N 10 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 25 25 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 14 N 14 N 13 N 12 N 10 N 10 WIND GUST..30 30 30 25 25 20 HAINES INDEX....M M M M M M $$ FORECASTER...RUSSELL REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20111219.SOUTH.01/DDC