FNUS75 KGJT 191512
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOMICHI CREEK...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
812 AM MST MON DEC 19 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MST ON DECEMBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD FROM
SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY. WRAP AROUND
FLOW AROUND THIS LOW WILL PRODUCE MODERATE NORTHEAST WINDS AT THE
BURN SITE TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO REBUILD FROM THE NORTH
TUESDAY...AND BY AFTERNOON LIGHT WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...INCREASING TO FAIR BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700-12700 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING WEST WINDS 3-8 MPH AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31400 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111219.TOMIC.01/GJT