FNUS72 KMLB 201202
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UCF MITIGATION BURN...UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
702 AM EST TUE DEC 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON DECEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER NORTH FLORIDA WILL GENERATE
A MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE AND TRANSPORT FLOW THROUGH
THE DAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE...BUT THE
ONSHORE COMPONENT WILL PUSH SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE
AREA TO KEEP AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY.......50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....0 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT AGL
                   IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 22
                   MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX...51.
LVORI..............1.

TIME (EST)         9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........
WEATHER TYPE.......
TEMP...............71  74  76  77  77  77  76  75  74  72  68  67
RH.................69  65  58  53  51  53  55  57  62  73  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD.....8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  9   9   9   8
20 FT WIND GUST....10  10  10  10                  10  10  10  10


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............7.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-3900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.
LVORI...............1.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...ALAINA BERNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111220.UCFMI.01/MLB