FNUS75 KGJT 201750
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE MOUNTAIN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1050 AM MST TUE DEC 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MST ON DECEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE OCCURING BY MID-DAY
THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING BETTER MIXING AND MODERATE TRANSPORT WINDS
...ALLOWING FOR IMPROVING SMOKE DISPERSAL ESPECIALLY THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-9 MPH AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20200 KNOT-FT) MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    LOW END FAIR AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10700-23900 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11900-15900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (88800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE MUELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111221.FIREM.01/GJT