FNUS72 KMFL 211405
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH CHECK...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
905 AM EST WED DEC 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON DECEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE LOCATED FROM
NORTH FLORIDA INTO THE ATLANTIC WHICH WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE
SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW ACROSS THE FIRE SITE THROUGH THIS
EVENING. THIS WILL ALSO PRODUCE MAXIMUM DISPERSION VALUES TO BE
GENERALLY GOOD TO ALMOST VERY GOOD. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN
AMPLE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS BUT
RAINFALL CHANCES WILL BE MINIMAL DUE TO A STRONG CAP ABOVE THE
SURFACE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46 INCREASING TO 60 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........58     58     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............74     79     81     77     72     68
RH..............63     55     53     62     75     87
20 FT WIND......SE 11  SE 11  SE 10  SE 7   SE 7   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     20     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   3500   4000   3000   3000   1900
MIXNG WIND......SE 17  SE 17  SE 22  SE 15  SE 15  SE 8
DISPERSION IDX..46     46     60     49     49     6
LVORI...........1      1      1      1      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 93 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....49 DECREASING TO 9.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 58 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 60.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...GENE COLWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111221.SOUTH.01/MFL