FNUS75 KPUB 211242
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOAB PILES...USFS SAGUACHE RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
542 AM MST WED DEC 21 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IT LOOKS LIKE SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL NOT GET OUT OF THE POOR CATEGORY TODAY.
THERE COULD BE SOME SHOWERS IN THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...AND THEN BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT SNOW IS LIKELY AND IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ON THURSDAY WITH A FEW TO SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.  WINDS
IN THE MIXING LAYER ON THURSDAY WILL BE MUCH STRONGER AND WILL RESULT
IN SMOKE DISPERSAL GETTING INTO THE GOOD CATEGORY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(47 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....28-33F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH TO NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300...THEN SNOW
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....2-7F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 12-17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 17 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0400...THEN EAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....9-14F.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 15-20.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN AROUND 31 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...DAVID CARR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20111221.MOABP.01/PUB