FNUS73 KLSX 041028
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANIEL BOONE...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
428 AM CST WED JAN 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING.  THIS
TROUGH WILL SHIFT THE WIND FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST AS IT
PASSES.  NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AS THE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH AND
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

THE WIND WILL QUICKLY TURN BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT BRINGING
EVEN WARMER AIR TO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  HIGHS THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO TO BE AS MUCH AS 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.  LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ACCOMPANY THESE
WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND AT 3 TO 5 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    TURNING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 6 MPH BY
                    1200 PM.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000FT AT IGNITION...1700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (5970 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...JEFF BAKAMEYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120104.DANIE.01/LSX