FNUS73 KMQT 040930 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER GOOSE PEN PILE BURN...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 430 AM EST WED JAN 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON JANUARY 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE FIRST WILL BE IN THE FORM OF A COLD FRONT EXITING EASTWARD OVER EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...WITH WINDS SLOWLY TURNING TO A MORE NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. WITH PLENTY OF COLD AIR SET UP ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR...AND A FAVORABLE WIND DIRECTION...A CLOUDY SKY IS FIGURED TODAY. A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE GOOSE PEN PILE BURN. THE SECOND WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SINK SOUTHWARD OVER THE BURN AREA AROUND DAYBREAK THURSDAY...BEFORE QUICKLY RETREATING NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT. WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL THEN TAKE HOLD BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING MUCH WARMER AIR BACK TO THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. THE WARMEST DAY LOOKS TO BE FRIDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE UPPER 30S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....28 AT IGNITION...MAX 31. MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 74 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 34 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (332) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (445). MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-2100 FT AGL. TIME (EST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........94 95 91 86 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............27 29 29 28 RH..............75 77 75 79 GENERAL WIND....W 9 NW 10 NW 10 NW 11 GENERAL GUST....14 19 21 16 VINDX KT-FT/100.254 413 442 319 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 2000 2100 1400 .TONIGHT... GENERAL WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 MPH OR LESS LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (31). TIME (EST) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM GENERAL WIND....NW 9 NW 9 W 7 W 6 W 6 NW 4 GENERAL GUST.... VINDX KT-FT/100.65 40 63 63 50 36 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A FEW FLURRIES LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 32. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 72 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 11 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (168). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........70 76 83 89 87 84 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE SNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............21 22 25 30 31 31 RH..............95 95 86 73 72 77 GENERAL WIND....N 2 N 2 E 3 S 6 S 6 S 8 GENERAL GUST.... 11 12 VINDX KT-FT/100.40 63 65 98 154 148 MIX HGT (FT)....300 600 1300 2000 1900 1200 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120104.UPPER.01/MQT