FNUS75 KBOU 051053 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 353 AM MST THU JAN 5 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE AREA WITH SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH 1300...FAIR FROM 1300 UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR AFTER 1600. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1700...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 1400-2400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........57%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....34. MIN HUMIDITY........40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS AROUND 30. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 17. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR LAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/05-03 30 0 0 27 38 W13 21 3 1 N 7 183 W12 1861 P 01/05-04 30 0 0 26 38 W12 20 3 1 NW 6 181 W12 1731 P 01/05-05 9 0 0 26 39 W12 18 3 1 NW 6 180 W10 1600 P 01/05-06 9 0 0 26 41 W12 18 3 1 W 8 204 W12 2046 P 01/05-07 9 0 0 27 42 W12 18 3 1 W10 228 W13 2492 P 01/05-08 9 0 0 29 41 W12 18 3 1 W13 252 W14 2938 P 01/05-09 9 0 0 32 38 W12 18 3 1 W15 551 W15 8067 P 01/05-10 9 0 0 35 35 W12 18 3 1 W17 850 W17 13196 P 01/05-11 18 0 0 39 32 W12 18 3 1 W20 1148 W18 18325 P 01/05-12 18 0 0 41 29 W12 18 3 1 W21 1647 W21 32183 P 01/05-13 18 0 0 42 27 W13 20 3 1 W22 2146 W23 46041 F 01/05-14 18 0 0 43 26 W13 21 3 1 W22 2646 W26 59899 F 01/05-15 18 0 0 42 26 W13 21 3 1 W22 2227 W26 50333 F 01/05-16 18 0 0 41 27 W14 22 3 1 W22 1808 W26 40766 F 01/05-17 35 0 0 36 31 W14 22 3 1 W22 1390 W25 31199 P 01/05-18 35 0 0 34 34 W14 22 3 1 W23 1176 W24 25647 P 01/05-19 35 0 0 32 36 W14 22 3 1 W24 963 W23 20095 P 01/05-20 35 0 0 30 38 W14 22 3 1 W28 750 W22 14543 P 01/05-21 35 0 0 29 41 W14 22 3 1 W30 619 W21 11590 P 01/05-22 35 0 0 27 43 W13 21 2 1 W33 489 W20 8636 P 01/05-23 38 0 0 26 45 W13 21 2 1 W37 358 W18 5683 P 01/06-00 38 0 0 25 46 W13 20 2 1 W39 325 W17 4985 P 01/06-01 38 0 0 24 47 W13 20 2 1 W40 292 W17 4286 P 01/06-02 38 0 0 23 47 W13 21 2 1 W41 258 W16 3588 P 01/06-03 38 0 0 22 48 W13 21 2 1 W43 311 W17 4664 P 01/06-04 38 0 0 22 49 W14 22 2 1 W41 364 W18 5740 P 01/06-05 49 0 0 24 44 W14 22 2 1 W41 416 W18 6816 P 01/06-06 49 0 0 23 48 W14 22 2 1 W43 387 W18 6094 P 01/06-07 49 0 0 22 53 W14 22 2 1 W43 358 W17 5372 P 01/06-08 49 0 0 22 57 W14 22 2 1 W44 328 W16 4650 P 01/06-09 49 0 0 23 56 W13 20 2 1 W44 1147 W18 20993 P 01/06-10 49 0 0 26 52 W13 18 2 1 W44 1965 W21 37337 P 01/06-11 38 0 0 29 47 W12 17 2 1 W44 2783 W22 53681 F 01/06-12 38 0 0 31 44 W12 16 2 1 W46 3473 W25 81788 G 01/06-13 38 0 0 32 41 W10 16 2 1 W47 4164 W29 109896 V 01/06-14 38 0 0 33 40 W10 16 2 1 W48 4854 W32 138004 V 01/06-15 38 0 0 32 41 W10 15 2 1 W48 4426 W31 121632 V 01/06-16 38 0 0 30 43 W10 15 2 1 W47 3998 W30 105260 V 01/06-17 38 0 0 28 45 W10 16 2 1 W45 3569 W29 88889 G 01/06-18 38 0 0 26 48 W10 15 2 1 W43 2889 W26 69486 G 01/06-19 38 0 0 24 51 W10 15 2 1 W41 2208 W25 50083 F 01/06-20 38 0 0 22 53 W10 16 2 1 W40 1527 W23 30680 P 01/06-21 38 0 0 20 53 W12 16 2 1 W40 1317 W23 26144 P 01/06-22 38 0 0 20 52 W12 18 3 1 W40 1107 W22 21607 P 01/06-23 42 0 0 19 52 W13 20 3 1 W41 896 W22 17071 P 01/07-00 42 0 0 18 50 W13 20 3 1 W45 787 W23 15291 P 01/07-01 42 0 0 17 49 W13 18 3 1 W48 677 W23 13512 P 01/07-02 42 0 0 17 48 W13 20 3 1 W49 567 W24 11732 P 01/07-03 42 0 0 17 46 W14 20 3 1 W48 509 W24 10693 P 01/07-04 42 0 0 16 46 W14 22 2 1 W45 450 W25 9654 P 01/07-05 42 4 1 16 46 W15 23 2 1 W41 391 W25 8615 P 01/07-06 42 4 1 16 47 W15 22 3 1 W37 413 W24 8586 P 01/07-07 42 4 1 15 50 W14 21 4 1 W33 435 W23 8557 P 01/07-08 42 4 1 16 51 W13 20 5 1 W31 457 W22 8528 P 01/07-09 42 4 1 18 49 W12 18 5 1 W31 1431 W21 24491 P 01/07-10 42 4 1 22 45 W10 16 4 1 W33 2405 W20 40453 F 01/07-11 65 21 4 25 42 W 9 14 3 1 W36 3379 W20 56415 F 01/07-12 65 21 4 27 40 SW 8 8 3 1 W37 3963 W18 63459 G 01/07-13 65 21 4 28 40 S 7 7 2 1 W38 4548 W18 70503 G 01/07-14 65 21 4 29 41 S 6 6 2 1 W38 5133 W17 77548 G 01/07-15 65 21 4 28 43 SE 5 5 2 1 W37 4960 W15 63010 G 01/07-16 65 21 4 27 47 E 3 3 2 1 W35 4788 SW12 48473 F 01/07-17 85 38 16 26 51 E 2 2 2 1 SW33 4616 SW 8 33935 P 01/07-18 85 38 16 24 55 E 2 2 2 1 SW35 4357 SW 9 32839 P 01/07-19 85 38 16 22 58 E 3 3 3 1 SW37 4098 S 9 31742 P 01/07-20 85 38 16 21 61 E 5 5 3 1 SW38 3840 S 9 30646 P 01/07-21 85 38 16 21 61 E 6 6 3 1 SW36 3854 SE 9 28961 P 01/07-22 85 38 16 20 61 E 7 7 3 1 SW32 3869 SE 8 27276 P 01/07-23 76 38 16 20 60 E 8 8 3 1 SW28 3884 SE 8 25592 P 01/08-00 76 38 16 20 61 E 8 8 3 1 SW23 3888 SE 7 24504 P 01/08-01 76 38 16 19 62 E 8 8 3 1 SW20 3892 E 7 23416 P 01/08-02 76 38 16 19 63 E 8 8 3 1 SW16 3897 E 7 22328 P 01/08-03 76 38 16 19 63 E 8 8 3 1 SW13 4029 E 8 28814 P 01/08-04 76 38 16 19 64 E 7 7 2 1 SW 9 4162 E 9 35301 P 01/08-05 56 16 3 19 64 NE 7 7 2 1 SW 7 4294 E12 41787 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SHAWN PHILLIPS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120105.BEARL.01/BOU