FNUS72 KMFL 051305
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH CONTEXT ROAD...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
805 AM EST THU JAN 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 EST ON JANUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...EXTENDING FROM A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IN THE
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...WILL LAY NORTH OF THE AREA ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA THIS MORNING. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES...THE RIDGE WILL SAG SOUTH
WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER MOVING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT. THIS
ENSURES CONTINUED DRY WEATHER AND NORTHERLY WINDS. SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN BELOW 10 MPH AND COULD POSSIBLY BECOME A LITTLE BIT NORTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH GUSTS 12 TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE. TONIGHT WINDS SHOULD
BECOME NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 3 TO 5 MPH AT MOST.

NO FOG IS EXPECTED.

DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...TRANSPORT WINDS ARE
RELATIVELY LOW AS WELL AS MIXING HEIGHT WHICH LEADS TO DISPERSION IN THE POOR
TO FAIR CATEGORY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 31 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........14     14     14     10     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52     64     69     70     69     59
RH..............86     60     40     33     37     54
20 FT WIND......N 4    N 6    N 6    N 6    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   2000   2700   2700   2400   2400
MIXNG WIND......N 6    N 10   N 12   N 12   N 12   N 12
DISPERSION IDX..13     28     34     34     32     32
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 2 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 29 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...MATT OTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120105.NORTH.01/MFL