FNUS72 KMLB 051246
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BC11...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
746 AM EST THU JAN 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EST ON JANUARY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FRONTAL TROUGH MOVING AWAY FROM THE EASTERN SEABOARD TO
THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL PUSH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER INTO
THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN WIND SPEEDS OVER THE PAST DAY AND KEEP LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM A
WEST DIRECTION (APPROXIMATELY 270 TO 290 DEGREES). THE AIR MASS IS
STILL QUITE COOL SO THERE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH DAYTIME SURFACE HEATING
FOR A SEA BREEZE TO FORM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FROST THROUGH 9 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  55  60  64  64  64  64  63  60  58  55  53
RH..............68  59  53  47  45  48  52  58  64  72  77  80
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   8   12  13  13  13  13  12  8   6   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.        15  15  15  15  15  15  10          5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 6
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...EMILY WEHR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120105.BC11_.01/MLB