FNUS73 KPAH 051247 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNANT BAR...SHAWNEE NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 647 AM CST THU JAN 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...BELOW 1700 FEET MIXING HEIGHT WITH VERY LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS... ...OVERALL VERY POOR DISPERSION RATES... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA TODAY...RESULTING IN VERY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS FOR THE HEARTLAND. MOST AREAS WILL NOT MIX ABOVE 1700 FEET TODAY. THEREFORE SMOKE MITIGATION WILL BE HINDERED A GREAT DEAL. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING AREAS NORTHEAST OF ANY FIRES TO POSSIBLY BECOME SMOKED IN. ALTHOUGH MIXING HEIGHTS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY FRIDAY THEY WILL CONTINUE TO HOVER AROUND THE 1700 TO 2000 FEET LEVEL IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5-10 MPH. TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............40 45 49 52 53 54 53 50 RH..............64 58 52 48 46 45 46 52 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 7 8 8 7 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.9 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............47 44 42 40 39 38 RH..............58 65 70 76 79 82 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....600 600 600 600 500 500 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59. RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 EARLY INCREASING TO 1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 26 TO 35 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 42 53 57 RH..............85 73 54 55 20 FT WIND......SW 6G10 SW 8G15 SW 10G20 SW 9G20 MIX HGT (FT)....600 1300 1900 1800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 SW 15 SW 30 SW 35 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...HOOPER REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120105.PENNA.01/PAH