FNUS73 KLSX 061553
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RUNNING BUFFALO CLOVER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
953 AM CST FRI JAN 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON JANUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER TODAY.  TEN HOUR FUEL MOISTURE
HAS BEEN FALLING INTO THE 7 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE THE PAST TWO DAYS.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AT 930 AM WERE AROUND 50 PERCENT
AT FARMINGTON AND THE RAWS SITE AS COUNCIL BLUFF RAWS SITE...AND
THEY WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES CLIMB WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN 7-10 MPH
WITH SOME GUST UP TO 15 MPH.  WINDS WILL TURN TOWARD DARK AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.  THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA AROUND 900 PM CST CAUSING THE WIND DIRECTION FROM THE NORTH.

A SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT.
THE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO BE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER ON SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 4
                    MPH DURING MID MORNING SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10
                    MPH DURING MID MORNING SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    1700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 28 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (9301 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 2 TO 3 MPH UNTIL LATE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT NORTH WIND.
WIND...20 FT........NORTH WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (2875 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WOODS  DFMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120106.RUNNI.01/LSX