FNUS73 KLSX 061354
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE WOODLAND II...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
754 AM CST FRI JAN 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UNSEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY. TEN HOUR FUEL
MOISTURE WILL FALL BETWEEN 7 AND 10 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE WHICH SHOULD KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES FROM DROPPING TO CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THIS AFTERNOON.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS REGION THIS AFTERNOON
CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE NORTHWEST.

A SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WIND 2 TO 4 MPH USING THE WIND FACTOR
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WIND 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AT IGNITION...2200 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6913 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTH WIND 2 TO 3 MPH USING WIND FACTOR
                    ADJUSTEMNT OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........NORTH WIND 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTH WIND AROUND 2 EARLY IN THE MORING
                    BECOMING LIGHT USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT
                    FACOR OF 0.3.
WIND...20 FT........NORTH WIND AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 7 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (2450 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC MERRITT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120106.WHITE.01/LSX