FNUS71 KAKQ 091501 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE (NWR) NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1001 AM EST MON JAN 9 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS THE CAROLINAS THROUGH TODAY. PRECIPITATION AND A WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TODAY THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS BRIEFLY ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THURSDAY WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1300-6700 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............99 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................38 42 43 44 45 45 44 43 RH..................67 62 62 62 60 58 60 62 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 20 30 30 30 60 60 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 3 3 3 3 3 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 4 5 7 6 4 2 2 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (900-2800 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............100 100 98 95 93 90 88 85 74 63 53 42 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................42 41 41 40 40 39 38 37 36 36 36 35 RH..................67 73 76 85 89 92 96 100 100 96 96 96 CHC OF PCPN (%).....60 60 60 60 50 50 50 50 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......E E SE SE S SW SW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S SW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 9 8 6 5 5 5 6 8 10 13 12 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1500-2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO POOR (1800-43600 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............31 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 19 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................35 37 39 41 44 46 48 50 52 51 50 50 RH..................92 82 79 73 65 60 56 52 48 48 50 50 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.5 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W NW NW NW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 8 8 10 13 16 20 21 21 20 17 14 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 2 2 2 3 13 27 44 42 38 31 17 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 FORECASTER...BILLET REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120109.BLACK.01/AKQ