FNUS74 KEPZ 091740
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ELK SILVER RX...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1040 AM MST MON JAN 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 MST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW ASSOCIATED WITH LAST NIGHTS SNOW WILL BE MOVING INTO
THE BIG BEND AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PUT AN END TO THE
SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE AREA BY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
NOT WARM MUCH DUE TO CLOUDS AND THE COLD AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER LOW. A COUPLE OF WARMER DAYS WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN THE 20S ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
BEFORE ANOTHER BACK DOOR COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS NOT MUCH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM SO JUST A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-40.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-2200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........POOR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120109.ELKSI.01/EPZ