FNUS73 KLSX 090311
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KARST WEST...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
911 PM CST SUN JAN 8 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE
ON MONDAY WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RISE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE
ONCE AGAIN.  A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN TO SOUTHERN MISSOURI
AND ILLINOIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  COLDER AIR WILL MOVE
IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW NORMAL
LATE THIS WEEK.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS WEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  USED A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT
                    FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND UNTIL LATE MORNING BECOMING WEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...2700 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (6048 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...ROXIE CAMPBELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120109.KARST.01/LSX