FNUS72 KMFL 100215
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PANTERH EAST...DOC/NOAA/NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
915 PM EST MON JAN 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2125 EST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF
STATES INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
INCREASING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. AS THIS
SYSTEM PROGRESSES, UPPER LEVEL ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE SO THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED MOISTURE AND A TIGHTER
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LIMIT THE CHANCES FOR FOG FORMATION AT THE
FIRE SITE DUE TO HIGHER LIKELIHOOD OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND A
SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW OF AROUND 5 TO 7 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 4   E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   2500   2500   1400   400    400
MIXNG WIND......SE 8   SE 8   SE 8   SE 6   E 5    E 5
DISPERSION IDX..35     6      6      4      3      3
LVORI...........1      8      8      8      8      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 67 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 38.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...WFO MIAMI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120109.PANTE.01/MFL