FNUS75 KRIW 091755
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR WARM SPRINGS COMMUNITY PILE...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1055 AM MST MON JAN 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MST ON JANUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP MAINLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE BURN AREA
TODAY. LIGHT TO BREEZY WESTERLY WIND WILL BE COMMON THROUGHOUT
THE DAY INTO TONIGHT. MORE OF THE SAME FOR EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE A
COLD FRONT MOVES IN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SHIFTING WIND TO
THE NORTH AND BRINGING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW DURING THE EVENING
AND INTO THE NIGHT.



...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BERC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-41.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS..... WEST 20 TO 22 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (28000-30800 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....19-22.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-81 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (21500-22100 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-44 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22800-37200 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...COLDER...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE EVENING...
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 6.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS AROUND
17. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 12. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS AROUND 30. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BERC
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SNYDER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120109.WARMS.01/RIW