FNUS71 KAKQ 101550 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 1050 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE GULF COAST WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO FAIR (13400-44000 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............57 39 17 6 5 3 2 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 48 49 50 50 50 48 RH..................62 54 52 48 44 46 50 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.3 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD......9 9 10 10 9 9 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 17 20 21 20 17 13 VRATE KT-FT/1000....13 30 42 44 36 26 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 8 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (500-6700 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............1 0 2 3 5 6 8 9 16 24 31 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................44 41 40 39 38 38 37 37 37 36 36 36 RH..................62 70 73 73 76 76 82 82 82 85 85 82 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD......5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW NW W W W NW N N NE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.....8 3 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 5 5 VRATE KT-FT/1000....7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING EAST 16 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR TO FAIR (1200-47900 FT-MPH)...INCREASING TO FAIR (46600-56600 FT-MPH) LATE. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............46 53 61 69 77 84 92 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........ RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................36 36 37 40 42 44 46 47 48 49 48 47 RH..................82 82 82 76 73 70 68 68 68 68 74 76 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 20 20 20 20 20 20 60 60 60 60 60 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.0 2.4 20 FT WIND DIR......NE NE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 3 3 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E E E E SE SE SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 7 9 12 14 15 15 16 18 20 22 22 VRATE KT-FT/1000....1 1 2 3 3 12 21 31 39 48 57 47 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 FORECASTER...SEYMOUR REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120110.BLACK.01/AKQ