FNUS73 KPAH 101415 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TURPEN...SHAWNEE NATIONAL FOREST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 815 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 CST ON JANUARY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS AT IGNITION WILL HAVE LITTLE WINDS WITH VERY LIGHT EASTERLIES JUST BEGINNING TO DEVELOP OFF THE SURFACE. STILL HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY FROM EARLY MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES WILL MEAN VERY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS AT BURN IGNITION TIME...LIKELY 500 FEET AGL OR BELOW...UNTIL THE TEMPERATURE CAN START TO RISE AFTER 9 AM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........30 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................87 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 2 MPH...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...RISING TO 1700 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............29 32 41 45 50 52 54 55 54 52 RH..............90 32 65 53 46 43 40 40 43 48 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E S TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 5 10 15 15 15 12 9 5 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................100 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............50 48 47 46 44 43 RH..............56 65 71 76 82 89 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 NE 5 NE 4 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 1400 1000 1000 900 900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52. RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................47 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 13 TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............43 45 49 50 RH..............89 86 77 68 20 FT WIND......NE 3G5 N 3G5 NW 5 NW 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....900 1000 1700 2400 TRANSPORT WIND..S 0 S 0 W 18 W 22 CWR.............50 50 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...JON TEUTRINE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120110.TURPE.01/PAH