FNUS75 KRIW 101516
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR WARM SPRINGS COMMUNITY PILE...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
816 AM MST TUE JAN 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0805 MST ON JANUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL BRING WINDIER CONDITIONS AND
THEREFORE BETTER MIXING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG WITH
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL. TOTAL SNOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
SHOULD BE 1 TO 3 INCHES. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL ACCOMPANY
THIS FRONT TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BERC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-34.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH BECOMING 15 TO 20 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH AFTER 11 AM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 31 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (25300-48100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....4-7.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (61900-73500 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....9-12.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (28900-45700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 1 BELOW. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...NOT AS COLD. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN
THE MID 20S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BERC
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SNYDER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120110.WARMS.01/RIW