FNUS71 KAKQ 111451 FWSAKQ SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH SHORTERS WHARF UNIT 7A...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 951 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN TRACKS INTO NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY. MIXING HEIGHTS MAY BRIEFLY INCREASE PRIOR TO THE BEGINNING OF RAINFALL. HOWEVER...OVERALL MIXING WILL BE POOR. A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (1100-3600 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............81 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV......... LKY LKY LKY PDS PDS PDS WEATHER TYPE........ RN RN RN RN RN RN TSTM COV............ TEMP................40 41 44 45 47 47 46 45 45 RH..................85 85 79 76 74 76 83 89 89 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 60 60 60 100 100 100 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......E E SE SE SE SE SE E E 20 FT WIND SPD......7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E SE SE SE SE SE SE E E TRANSP WIND SPD.....9 12 14 15 15 15 15 14 16 VRATE KT-FT/1000....2 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (3200-4800 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 95 91 86 82 WEATHER COV.........PDS DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RW RW RW TSTM COV............ TEMP................45 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 50 50 50 RH..................93 80 83 89 93 96 96 100 96 93 93 93 CHC OF PCPN (%).....100 100 100 100 100 100 100 30 30 30 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 14 12 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 20 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....17 18 20 21 22 22 22 22 20 18 16 15 VRATE KT-FT/1000....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20FT/2MIN)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....VERY POOR (2600-4400 FT-MPH). HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............77 73 71 70 68 66 65 63 65 68 70 72 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................50 50 51 51 52 52 53 53 54 54 53 53 RH..................93 93 86 86 80 80 77 77 74 71 74 74 CHC OF PCPN (%).....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 20 FT WIND DIR......S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......12 12 12 13 13 12 10 10 10 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....14 14 15 17 18 18 17 15 14 13 13 13 VRATE KT-FT/1000....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120111.BLACK.01/AKQ