FNUS73 KAPX 111420 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR ZISSLER UNIT 3...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 920 AM EST WED JAN 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EST ON JANUARY 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A COUPLE OF AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MERGE TOGETHER OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS TO BRING A RETURN TO WINTRY WEATHER AND SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL...EVEN OUTSIDE OF THE TYPICAL SNOWBELTS. THE PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT A S RAIN...OR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW THURSDAY...WITH A CHANGEOVER TO JUST SNOW LATER INTO THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. PRIOR TO THIS...WE ARE GOING TO SEE ANOTHER MILD DAY FOR JANUARY STANDARDS...WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH JUST SOME INCREASING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY. HUMIDITY...TEMPERATURES AND WINDS WILL ALL BE WELL AWAY FROM ANYTHING CRITICAL FOR BURNING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 44. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-500 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100) AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR (100). TIME (EST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........M M M M M WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............41 42 42 41 39 RH..............62 60 62 65 70 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 SMOKE DISP......100 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........45 80 80 80 85 85 85 86 86 86 80 80 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............38 36 35 35 34 33 33 32 32 32 32 32 RH..............70 79 82 78 82 85 85 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SMOKE DISP......0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN OR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 36. RH..................MIN 85 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........80 88 88 88 100 100 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW TEMP............M M M M M M RH..............85 85 89 89 89 89 20 FT WIND......M M M M M M 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...SCOTT DICKSON REQUESTED BY...JOE ALYEA TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120111.ZISSL.02/APX