FNUS75 KBOU 102355 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DEER MOUNTAIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 445 PM MST TUE JAN 10 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBACE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE SOME GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM. SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF WEDENSDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BEFORE CLEARING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 2100...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0500...THEN SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........85%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 0600...THEN 7-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 3800-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0500...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN SNOW UNTIL 1700...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....18. MIN HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-11 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....2. MAX HUMIDITY........76%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 17-27 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100. FAIR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....24. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3600-4600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DEER MOUNTAIN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/10-16 19 0 0 40 33 W18 30 4 1 W41 3783 W36 112802 V 01/10-17 37 0 0 37 36 W22 35 4 1 W44 3159 W38 104036 V 01/10-18 37 0 0 33 44 W23 37 4 1 W45 2577 W37 83817 G 01/10-19 37 0 0 29 56 W23 37 4 1 W45 1996 W36 63598 G 01/10-20 37 0 0 25 68 W23 37 4 1 W46 1414 W36 43379 F 01/10-21 55 6 1 24 75 W22 36 3 1 W48 1507 W35 45608 F 01/10-22 55 6 1 23 80 W21 33 3 1 W51 1600 W35 47837 F 01/10-23 55 6 1 22 82 W18 30 2 1 W53 1692 W35 50066 F 01/11-00 55 6 1 22 85 W15 24 2 1 W58 1909 W35 57005 F 01/11-01 85 25 5 21 84 W10 17 2 1 W61 2125 W35 63944 G 01/11-02 85 25 5 21 82 NW 8 13 2 1 W62 2342 W35 70883 G 01/11-03 85 25 5 20 76 W 8 13 2 1 W56 3092 W33 89910 G 01/11-04 85 25 5 20 69 W 9 15 2 1 W49 3842 W33 108937 V 01/11-05 95 68 50 20 65 W10 16 2 1 W44 4592 NW32 127964 V 01/11-06 95 68 50 18 69 W10 16 2 1 W45 4459 W28 110080 V 01/11-07 95 68 50 15 75 W 9 15 2 1 W49 4326 W24 92196 G 01/11-08 95 68 50 14 79 W 8 13 2 1 W53 4193 W21 74311 G 01/11-09 95 68 50 14 78 W 7 7 2 1 W54 4536 W20 76442 G 01/11-10 95 68 50 15 74 W 7 7 2 1 W55 4880 W18 78572 G 01/11-11 92 93 89 15 72 W 6 6 2 1 NW56 5223 W17 80702 G 01/11-12 92 93 89 15 70 W 6 6 2 1 NW59 5529 W21 98961 G 01/11-13 92 93 89 15 69 W 5 5 2 1 NW63 5836 W23 117219 V 01/11-14 73 93 89 15 69 W 5 5 2 1 NW68 6143 W25 135478 V 01/11-15 73 93 89 13 73 NW 3 3 2 1 NW74 6070 W29 152953 E 01/11-16 73 93 89 12 76 NW 2 2 2 1 NW79 5997 NW32 170429 E 01/11-17 52 10 2 11 75 NW 3 3 2 1 NW84 5925 NW37 187904 E 01/11-18 52 10 2 9 66 NW 6 6 2 1 NW87 5401 NW40 185718 E 01/11-19 52 10 2 9 54 W10 16 3 1 NW89 4878 NW44 183533 E 01/11-20 52 10 2 8 43 W15 24 4 1 N91 4355 NW48 181347 E 01/11-21 52 10 2 7 40 W17 26 4 1 NW87 3800 NW44 146211 V 01/11-22 52 10 2 6 37 W17 29 4 1 NW85 3580 NW43 134268 V 01/11-23 33 7 1 6 35 W18 30 4 1 N82 3359 NW41 122324 V 01/12-00 33 7 1 6 34 W20 31 4 1 N78 2903 NW43 106945 V 01/12-01 33 7 1 5 33 W21 33 4 1 N76 2447 NW44 91567 G 01/12-02 33 7 1 4 34 W22 35 4 1 N73 1991 NW44 76188 G 01/12-03 33 7 1 3 35 W23 37 4 1 N69 1693 NW44 64979 G 01/12-04 33 7 1 3 36 W24 38 3 1 NW67 1395 NW45 53771 F 01/12-05 23 3 1 2 37 W24 39 3 1 NW64 1097 NW45 42562 F 01/12-06 23 3 1 2 39 W24 38 3 1 NW62 1084 NW44 40877 F 01/12-07 23 3 1 3 41 W23 37 2 1 NW61 1071 NW43 39192 P 01/12-08 23 3 1 5 40 W22 35 2 1 NW60 1058 NW40 37507 P 01/12-09 23 3 1 9 35 W21 33 2 1 NW61 2385 NW41 89536 G 01/12-10 23 3 1 15 29 W20 31 2 1 NW62 3711 NW43 141565 V 01/12-11 23 4 1 20 26 W17 28 2 1 NW63 5038 NW44 193594 E 01/12-12 23 4 1 22 24 W15 24 2 1 N63 5088 NW43 187246 E 01/12-13 23 4 1 23 24 W13 20 2 1 N62 5138 NW40 180898 E 01/12-14 23 4 1 23 25 W10 16 2 1 N59 5188 NW39 174550 E 01/12-15 23 4 1 21 28 W 9 14 2 1 N53 4499 NW37 147144 V 01/12-16 23 4 1 18 32 W 8 13 2 1 N44 3810 NW36 119738 V 01/12-17 25 3 1 15 36 W 8 13 2 1 N37 3121 NW35 92332 G 01/12-18 25 3 1 13 38 W 9 16 2 1 NW30 2699 NW33 79269 G 01/12-19 25 3 1 12 39 W12 20 2 1 NW24 2276 NW33 66205 G 01/12-20 25 3 1 12 39 W14 22 2 1 NW22 1853 NW33 53141 F 01/12-21 25 3 1 12 36 W14 22 2 1 NW25 2168 NW31 58173 F 01/12-22 25 3 1 13 32 W14 21 2 1 NW30 2482 NW30 63205 G 01/12-23 22 4 1 14 31 W13 21 2 1 NW35 2796 NW28 68237 G 01/13-00 22 4 1 13 34 W13 20 2 1 NW33 2886 NW29 73759 G 01/13-01 22 4 1 12 40 W13 21 2 1 NW32 2977 NW31 79281 G 01/13-02 22 4 1 12 47 W14 22 2 1 NW35 3067 NW32 84803 G 01/13-03 22 4 1 12 48 W17 28 3 1 NW48 2981 NW35 88103 G 01/13-04 22 4 1 12 48 W21 33 4 1 N64 2895 NW37 91402 G 01/13-05 23 4 1 12 49 W23 37 4 1 N76 2809 NW39 94702 G 01/13-06 23 4 1 11 55 W21 33 4 1 N76 2291 NW36 73990 G 01/13-07 23 4 1 10 61 W16 26 3 1 N70 1774 NW33 53279 F 01/13-08 23 4 1 11 65 W13 21 2 1 N63 1256 NW30 32568 P 01/13-09 23 4 1 15 59 W12 18 2 1 N58 2634 NW31 73989 G 01/13-10 23 4 1 21 49 W12 18 2 1 N51 4012 NW32 115411 V 01/13-11 25 5 1 27 42 W12 18 2 1 N47 5391 NW33 156833 E 01/13-12 25 5 1 29 39 W12 18 2 1 N48 5429 NW37 171843 E 01/13-13 25 5 1 30 39 W12 18 2 1 N51 5467 NW39 186852 E 01/13-14 25 5 1 29 39 W12 18 2 1 N54 5506 NW43 201862 E 01/13-15 25 5 1 28 40 W13 20 2 1 N55 4799 NW44 181301 E 01/13-16 25 5 1 26 42 W13 21 2 1 N58 4093 NW46 160740 E 01/13-17 29 4 1 23 44 W14 22 2 1 N59 3387 NW47 140179 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/SWE REQUESTED BY...SHAWN PHILLIPS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120111.DEERM.01/BOU