FNUS75 KBOU 111512 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LILY LAKE PIT...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 812 AM MST WED JAN 11 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL WEATHER DISTURBANCE OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EAST OF THE STATE BY THIS EVENING. MODERATE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS MORNING WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY BY THIS EVENING. AT THE SURFACE...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER WYOMING WILL BE BUILDING SOUTHWARD INTO COLORADO. THE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PRODUCE SNOW OVER THE FOOTHILLS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. VISIBILITIES SHOULD REMAIN POOR THROUGH THE DAY AND GUSTY WINDS SHOULD IMPROVE SMOKE DISPERSION. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...DECREASING AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....14-18. MIN HUMIDITY........42-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 2300. MIN TEMPERATURE.....4. MAX HUMIDITY........75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 40-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1200-2200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100. FAIR AFTER 0400. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....19. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14-24 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LILY LAKEPIT. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 01/11-08 99 91 70 15 78 W13 17 2 1 W52 3583 W10 33351 P 01/11-09 99 91 70 15 73 W10 10 2 1 W51 4110 W10 37644 P 01/11-10 99 91 70 15 69 N 8 8 2 1 W49 4638 NW10 41938 F 01/11-11 92 71 57 15 65 NE 7 7 2 1 W49 5165 NW10 46231 F 01/11-12 92 71 57 15 62 NE 6 6 2 1 NW53 5194 NW14 62964 G 01/11-13 92 71 57 14 61 N 5 5 2 1 NW58 5224 NW17 79698 G 01/11-14 89 48 30 13 63 N 5 5 2 1 NW64 5253 W21 96431 G 01/11-15 89 48 30 12 68 N 3 3 2 1 NW73 5147 NW26 118356 V 01/11-16 89 48 30 11 74 N 3 3 3 1 NW79 5042 NW32 140281 V 01/11-17 52 20 4 10 75 NW 3 3 3 1 N86 4937 NW38 162206 E 01/11-18 52 20 4 10 65 NW 6 6 3 1 N90 4422 NW41 156684 E 01/11-19 52 20 4 9 52 W 9 9 4 1 N91 3908 NW46 151162 E 01/11-20 52 10 2 8 42 W13 17 4 1 N91 3393 NW49 145641 V 01/11-21 52 10 2 8 38 W15 21 4 1 N90 3066 NW48 128557 V 01/11-22 52 10 2 8 36 W17 24 3 1 N87 2738 NW46 111473 V 01/11-23 34 9 2 7 35 W18 25 3 1 N84 2411 NW45 94389 G 01/12-00 34 9 2 6 34 W20 28 3 1 N81 2118 NW45 82207 G 01/12-01 34 9 2 6 33 W21 29 3 1 N76 1824 NW44 70025 G 01/12-02 34 9 2 5 33 W21 29 3 1 N71 1531 NW44 57843 F 01/12-03 34 9 2 5 34 W21 29 3 1 N68 1353 NW44 51071 F 01/12-04 34 9 2 5 35 W21 29 2 1 N64 1174 NW44 44298 F 01/12-05 13 3 1 4 37 W21 29 2 1 N63 996 NW44 37526 P 01/12-06 13 3 1 5 39 W21 29 2 1 N62 955 NW41 34632 P 01/12-07 13 3 1 5 41 W20 28 2 1 N63 914 NW40 31738 P 01/12-08 13 3 1 6 41 W20 28 2 1 N64 873 NW38 28844 P 01/12-09 13 3 1 10 37 W18 30 2 1 N64 1807 NW39 62071 G 01/12-10 13 3 1 15 32 W18 29 2 1 N63 2740 NW39 95317 G 01/12-11 17 4 1 19 28 W17 28 2 1 N61 3674 NW40 128563 V 01/12-12 17 4 1 19 29 W16 26 2 1 N58 3761 NW38 125257 V 01/12-13 17 4 1 19 30 W15 24 2 1 NW54 3847 NW37 121951 V 01/12-14 17 4 1 19 31 W14 23 2 1 NW48 3934 NW35 118646 V 01/12-15 17 4 1 19 31 W14 22 2 1 NW44 3488 NW35 103910 V 01/12-16 17 4 1 19 32 W14 22 2 1 NW38 3042 NW33 89175 G 01/12-17 25 4 1 18 32 W14 22 2 1 NW32 2596 NW33 74440 G 01/12-18 25 4 1 16 34 W15 24 2 1 NW28 2194 NW32 62280 G 01/12-19 25 4 1 15 36 W17 28 3 1 NW23 1792 NW32 50119 F 01/12-20 25 4 1 14 36 W18 30 3 1 NW21 1390 NW31 37959 P 01/12-21 25 4 1 14 34 W18 29 3 1 NW20 1493 NW31 40914 F 01/12-22 25 4 1 15 32 W17 26 3 1 NW20 1597 NW31 43869 F 01/12-23 28 4 1 16 30 W16 25 3 1 NW22 1700 NW32 46824 F 01/13-00 28 4 1 15 31 W17 28 3 1 NW29 1452 NW30 38781 P 01/13-01 28 4 1 13 34 W18 30 3 1 N36 1204 NW29 30739 P 01/13-02 28 4 1 12 37 W20 31 3 1 N43 957 W28 22697 P 01/13-03 28 4 1 11 39 W20 31 3 1 N45 869 W26 20118 P 01/13-04 28 4 1 11 40 W18 29 3 1 N47 781 W25 17538 P 01/13-05 22 5 1 11 42 W17 28 3 1 N48 693 W25 14959 P 01/13-06 22 5 1 11 45 W17 28 3 1 N48 696 W24 14726 P 01/13-07 22 5 1 11 48 W17 28 2 1 N47 699 W24 14494 P 01/13-08 22 5 1 12 50 W17 28 2 1 N47 702 W23 14261 P 01/13-09 22 5 1 16 46 W17 28 2 1 N47 1581 W24 35364 P 01/13-10 22 5 1 21 41 W18 29 2 1 N46 2460 NW25 56466 F 01/13-11 30 6 1 25 36 W18 30 2 1 NW47 3339 NW26 77569 G 01/13-12 30 6 1 28 33 W20 31 2 1 N48 3358 NW29 85158 G 01/13-13 30 6 1 28 34 W21 32 2 1 N51 3376 NW31 92746 G 01/13-14 30 6 1 28 34 W21 33 2 1 N52 3395 NW35 100335 V 01/13-15 30 6 1 28 33 W21 33 2 1 N52 2951 NW33 86988 G 01/13-16 30 6 1 28 33 W21 32 3 1 N51 2508 NW33 73640 G 01/13-17 30 5 1 27 33 W20 31 3 1 N49 2065 NW33 60292 G 01/13-18 30 5 1 26 35 W20 30 3 1 N49 1801 W32 51191 F 01/13-19 30 5 1 24 37 W18 30 2 1 NW49 1538 W31 42090 F 01/13-20 30 5 1 22 39 W18 29 2 1 NW48 1275 W30 32988 P 01/13-21 30 5 1 21 40 W17 28 2 1 NW47 1140 W29 28914 P 01/13-22 30 5 1 19 42 W16 26 3 1 N44 1005 W29 24840 P 01/13-23 16 6 1 18 43 W16 25 3 1 N41 871 W28 20766 P 01/14-00 16 6 1 17 43 W16 25 3 1 NW38 740 W25 16754 P 01/14-01 16 6 1 16 44 W15 24 3 1 NW36 610 W23 12742 P 01/14-02 16 6 1 16 44 W15 24 3 1 NW33 480 W21 8730 P 01/14-03 16 6 1 16 43 W15 23 3 1 NW35 445 W18 7452 P 01/14-04 16 6 1 16 43 W14 23 3 1 NW37 411 W17 6173 P 01/14-05 18 3 1 17 42 W14 22 3 1 NW39 377 W15 4895 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SHAWN PHILLIPS REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120111.LILYL.01/BOU